Adobe Inc. (ADBE): Among Unknown Billionaire Phill Gross' Stock Picks with Huge Upside Potential

By Sajjl Nooranne | May 05, 2025, 10:59 AM

We recently published a list of Unknown Billionaire Phill Gross’ 10 Stock Picks with Huge Upside Potential. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE) stands against other unknown billionaire Phill Gross’ stock picks with huge upside potential.

Phillip “Phill” Gross is a seasoned investor and influential figure in the world of institutional asset management, best known as the Co-founder, Managing Director, and Healthcare Portfolio Manager of Adage Capital Management. While Robert Atchinson, his longtime collaborator and fellow Co-founder, serves as the firm’s Portfolio Manager, Gross’s leadership and strategic vision have played a foundational role in shaping Adage’s long-term investment philosophy and reputation. The two met in the mid-1980s while working as Harvard University’s endowment analysts. Their professional synergy led them to leave Harvard Management Company in the 1990s, following public scrutiny over performance-based bonuses. With the backing of an initial $1.8 billion investment from Harvard and an agreement for the university to receive 10% of the firm’s earnings, they launched Adage Capital Management in 2001 alongside an 18-person team.

Under Gross’s co-leadership, Adage has become a key player in managing assets for prominent institutional clients such as Harvard University, Dartmouth College, Northwestern University, the American Red Cross, and the Getty Foundation. The firm specializes in long/short equity strategies guided by fundamental analysis and engages in risk arbitrage and event-driven opportunities when market conditions are favourable. Adage Capital Management and its predecessor, the Select Equity Group at Harvard Management Company, have consistently outperformed broader market benchmarks by an average of 3.5% over the past 15 years. This is a testament to the disciplined, research-driven investment framework that Gross helped instill.

Gross himself brings a deep background in healthcare investing, having served for nearly two decades at Harvard Management Company in various roles, including Healthcare and Retail Analyst, Equity Research Director, and Partner. His academic credentials include a B.S. in finance and economics (1982) and an M.S. in investments (1983), both from the University of Wisconsin. He remains actively engaged with his alma mater, serving on the advisory boards of the Steve Hawk Center for Applied Securities Analysis and the Nicholas Center for Applied Corporate Finance. In recognition of his professional accomplishments and ongoing contributions, Gross received the Distinguished Alumnus Award from the University of Wisconsin Business School in 2006.

Beyond finance, Gross is a committed philanthropist. He co-founded Strategic Grant Partners, an organization focused on driving systemic change in education and family services throughout Massachusetts. He also serves as Vice President of the Board of Directors for Youth Enrichment Services, a nonprofit that provides urban youth with outdoor recreational experiences. In addition, he holds board positions with the U.S. Ski and Snowboard Association, where he is Vice-Chair of the Investment Committee, and with the T2 Foundation.

Adage Capital Management’s latest 13F filing for Q4 2024 reported $57.19 billion in managed securities, with the top 10 holdings comprising 31.7% of the total portfolio, demonstrating a strategic yet diversified approach to asset allocation. While Atchinson oversees day-to-day portfolio management, Gross’s enduring influence and expertise, particularly in healthcare investing, continue to shape the firm’s long-term success and institutional credibility.

Our Methodology

We searched through Adage Capital Management’s Q4 2024 13F filings to identify unknown billionaire Phill Gross’ stock picks with the highest upside potential. We compiled the equities with upside potential higher than 34% at the time of writing this article and discussed why they stood out as strong potential investments. Finally, we ranked the stocks based on the ascending order of their upside potential. To assist readers with more context, we mentioned the hedge fund sentiment around each stock using data from 1,009 hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey in the fourth quarter of 2024.

Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 363.5% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 208 percentage points (see more details here).

Adobe Inc. (ADBE): Among Unknown Billionaire Phill Gross’ Stock Picks with Huge Upside Potential
A team of engineers and scientists collaborating at a workstation surrounded by their applications and solutions.

Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE)

Number of Hedge Fund Holders as of Q4: 117

Adage Capital Management’s Equity Stake: $220.82 Million 

Upside Potential as of May 2: 35.66%

Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE), headquartered in San Jose, California, stands as a global leader in creative and digital software solutions. The company is widely recognized for its flagship Creative Cloud suite, which encompasses a comprehensive array of tools for photo and video editing, vector graphics, web and print design, animation, mobile app development, and audio production. Adobe has consistently set industry benchmarks with its software offerings and continues to advance rapidly into the realms of artificial intelligence and generative media, further cementing its influence across creative and technological industries.

Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE) has also taken significant steps forward in the field of generative AI, particularly through enhancements to its Firefly platform. The recently launched Firefly Image Model 4 introduces major upgrades in image quality, speed, and creative control. It allows for refined manipulation of visual elements such as camera angles, zoom effects, and stylistic precision, and supports high-resolution outputs up to 2K. A more advanced version, Image Model 4 Ultra, further elevates output quality, enabling the generation of complex scenes with detailed structures and nuanced stylistic accuracy, thanks to more intensive computational training.

For the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE) delivered record-breaking financial results, reporting revenue of $5.71 billion, demonstrating a 10% increase year-over-year. Operating income for the quarter reached $2.16 billion, and the company posted GAAP diluted earnings per share of $4.14, with a net income of $1.81 billion. Cash flows from operations were robust at $2.48 billion, underscoring Adobe’s strong financial health and operational efficiency. Reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns, the company repurchased approximately 7 million shares during the quarter.

With strong quarterly performance, pioneering developments in generative AI, and continued investment in content authenticity and advanced technology, Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE) is well-positioned to maintain its leadership in creative software while expanding its footprint in the emerging AI sector. The company currently holds an upside potential of 35.66%, placing it among billionaire investor Phill Gross’s stock picks with significant upside potential.

Aristotle Value Equity Strategy stated the following regarding Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE) in its Q1 2025 investor letter:

“Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE), the leading provider of content creation and publishing software, was a notable detractor during the quarter. This came despite the company reporting record revenue of over $5.7 billion in the first quarter—a 10% year-over-year increase, with double-digit increases across both its Digital Media and Digital Experience segments. The disconnect between strong fundamentals and share price weakness reflects ongoing market concerns around intensifying competitive threats from generative AI and lower-cost design platforms. Market sentiment has remained cautious around the perceived disruption risk posed by new AI-driven entrants, including OpenAI’s Sora for video generation and platforms like Canva, which cater to the broader prosumer and small and medium-sized business segment. However, we continue to view these as largely non-overlapping with Adobe’s core base of creative professionals, enterprises and agencies—audiences that demand precision, control and integration within larger workflows. Canva, while expanding its feature set, remains limited in its enterprise readiness and depth. Sora, meanwhile, remains early-stage and experimental, with limited commercial application at this point. Crucially, Adobe is not standing still. The company is actively embedding generative AI across its ecosystem through Firefly, which is commercially safe (i.e., free of copyrighted sources to train its models) and integrated natively into Creative Cloud applications like Photoshop and Illustrator. Firefly has shown strong early traction, generating $125 million in annualized recurring revenue, with management expecting that figure to double by year end. While modest in size relative to Adobe’s total revenue, Firefly’s monetization strategy is still in its early innings, with further potential through upselling, usage-based pricing and expanded use cases. Beyond monetization, AI integration enhances Adobe’s long-term competitive moat through product functionality, stronger customer engagement and increased switching costs. Adobe’s unique access to proprietary data, content workflows and creative content allows it to fine-tune models that serve the high-end needs of professionals—capabilities that generic AI models lack. Strategic partnerships with Microsoft (e.g., Firefly in Microsoft 365 Copilot) and ongoing momentum in Adobe Express further extend its reach into new user segments. Ultimately, we believe Adobe has a durable competitive advantage, underpinned by a large installed base, subscription-led business model, strong brand equity and a long track record of innovation. While short-term concerns over AI disruption have weighed on the stock price, we believe Adobe is well-positioned to harness AI as a driver of value rather than being displaced by it.”

Overall, ADBE ranks 9th on our list of unknown billionaire Phill Gross’ stock picks with huge upside potential. While we acknowledge the potential of ADBE as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. There is an AI stock that went up since the beginning of 2025, while popular AI stocks lost around 25%. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than ADBE but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.

 

READ NEXT: 20 Best AI Stocks To Buy Now and 30 Best Stocks to Buy Now According to Billionaires.

 

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

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