Understanding Agco (AGCO) Reliance on International Revenue

By Zacks Equity Research | May 13, 2025, 9:16 AM

Have you evaluated the performance of Agco's (AGCO) international operations for the quarter ending March 2025? Given the extensive global presence of this farm equipment maker, analyzing the patterns in international revenues is crucial for understanding its financial strength and potential for growth.

In the current global economy, which is more interconnected than ever, a company's success in penetrating international markets is crucial for its financial health and growth journey. Investors must understand a company's dependence on overseas markets, as this offers a window into the company's earnings stability, its ability to benefit from varied economic cycles and its potential for long-term growth.

Being present in international markets serves as a counterbalance to domestic economic challenges while offering chances to engage with more rapidly evolving economies. However, this kind of diversification introduces challenges like currency fluctuations, geopolitical uncertainties and varying market trends.

While analyzing AGCO's performance for the last quarter, we found some intriguing trends in revenues from its overseas segments that Wall Street analysts commonly model and monitor.

The recent quarter saw the company's total revenue reaching $2.05 billion, marking a decline of 30% from the prior-year quarter. Next, we'll examine the breakdown of AGCO's revenue from abroad to comprehend the significance of its international presence.

Decoding AGCO's International Revenue Trends

During the quarter, Europe/Middle East contributed $1.33 billion in revenue, making up 64.89% of the total revenue. When compared to the consensus estimate of $1.31 billion, this meant a surprise of +1.48%. Looking back, Europe/Middle East contributed $1.88 billion, or 65.21%, in the previous quarter, and $1.73 billion, or 59.04%, in the same quarter of the previous year.

South America accounted for 11.21% of the company's total revenue during the quarter, translating to $229.9 million. Revenues from this region represented a surprise of +38.79%, with Wall Street analysts collectively expecting $165.65 million. When compared to the preceding quarter and the same quarter in the previous year, South America contributed $282 million (9.77%) and $303.4 million (10.36%) to the total revenue, respectively.

Of the total revenue, $94.5 million came from Asia/Pacific/Africa during the last fiscal quarter, accounting for 4.61%. This represented a surprise of -27.2% as analysts had expected the region to contribute $129.82 million to the total revenue. In comparison, the region contributed $175.7 million, or 6.09%, and $166.7 million, or 5.69%, to total revenue in the previous and year-ago quarters, respectively.

Anticipated Revenues in Overseas Markets

The current fiscal quarter's total revenue for Agco, as projected by Wall Street analysts, is expected to reach $2.49 billion, reflecting a decline of 23.2% from the same quarter last year. The breakdown of this revenue by foreign region is as follows: Europe/Middle East is anticipated to contribute 67.1% or $1.67 billion, South America 10.1% or $251.27 million and Asia/Pacific/Africa 5.5% or $137.32 million.

For the full year, the company is expected to generate $9.59 billion in total revenue, down 17.8% from the previous year. Revenues from Europe/Middle East, South America and Asia/Pacific/Africa are expected to constitute 64.6% ($6.2 billion), 11.5% ($1.11 billion) and 5.9% ($563.15 million) of the total, respectively.

Final Thoughts

Agco's leaning on foreign markets for its revenue stream presents a mix of chances and challenges. Therefore, a vigilant watch on its international revenue movements can greatly aid in projecting the company's future direction.

In a world where international interdependencies and geopolitical conflicts are ever-increasing, Wall Street analysts closely monitor these trends for companies having international presence to adjust their earnings forecasts. Of course, there are several other factors, including a company's standing within its home borders, that influence analysts' earnings forecasts.

Emphasizing a company's shifting earnings prospects is a key aspect of our approach at Zacks, especially since research has proven its substantial influence on a stock's price in the short run. This correlation is positively aligned, meaning that improved earnings projections tend to boost the stock's price.

Boasting a remarkable track record that's been externally verified, the Zacks Rank, our unique stock rating system, leverages changes in earnings projections to function as a reliable gauge for predicting short-term stock price movements.

Agco currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that it could perform in line with the broader market in the near term. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>>

Examining the Latest Trends in Agco's Stock Value

Over the preceding four weeks, the stock's value has appreciated by 22.8%, against an upturn of 9.1% in the Zacks S&P 500 composite. In parallel, the Zacks Industrial Products sector, which counts Agco among its entities, has appreciated by 12.7%. Over the past three months, the company's shares have seen an increase of 7.5% versus the S&P 500's 3.1% decline. The sector overall has witnessed a decline of 2.7% over the same period.

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