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Compared to Estimates, Target (TGT) Q1 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics

By Zacks Equity Research | May 21, 2025, 9:30 AM

For the quarter ended April 2025, Target (TGT) reported revenue of $23.85 billion, down 2.8% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $1.30, compared to $2.03 in the year-ago quarter.

The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $24.23 billion, representing a surprise of -1.58%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of -19.75%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $1.62.

While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Street expectations to determine their next course of action, some key metrics always provide a better insight into a company's underlying performance.

As these metrics influence top- and bottom-line performance, comparing them to the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated helps investors project a stock's price performance more accurately.

Here is how Target performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:

  • Comparable store sales - YoY change: -3.8% versus -1.9% estimated by nine analysts on average.
  • Number of stores - Total: 1,981 compared to the 1,983 average estimate based on five analysts.
  • Retail Square Feet - Total: 248.66 Msq ft versus the three-analyst average estimate of 249.22 Msq ft.
  • Stores Originated Comparable Sales Change: -5.7% versus the three-analyst average estimate of -3.7%.
  • Retail Square Feet - 50,000 to 169,999 sq. ft: 195.44 Msq ft versus the two-analyst average estimate of 196.13 Msq ft.
  • Digitally Originated Comparable Sales Change: 4.7% compared to the 8.3% average estimate based on two analysts.
  • Retail Square Feet - 170,000 or more sq. ft: 48.82 Msq ft versus 48.8 Msq ft estimated by two analysts on average.
  • Number of stores - 49,999 or less sq. ft: 146 versus the two-analyst average estimate of 148.
  • Number of stores - 50,000 to 169,999 sq. ft: 1,562 versus the two-analyst average estimate of 1,563.
  • Number of stores - 170,000 or more sq. ft: 273 compared to the 273 average estimate based on two analysts.
  • Retail Square Feet - 49,999 or less sq. ft: 4.4 Msq ft versus 4.45 Msq ft estimated by two analysts on average.
  • Total Revenue- Sales: $23.85 billion versus $24.09 billion estimated by six analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a -1.2% change.
View all Key Company Metrics for Target here>>>

Shares of Target have returned +4.3% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +12.7% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), indicating that it could underperform the broader market in the near term.

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Target Corporation (TGT): Free Stock Analysis Report

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

Zacks Investment Research

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