Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Advances While Market Declines: Some Information for Investors

By Zacks Equity Research | June 17, 2025, 5:45 PM

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) closed the most recent trading day at $170.08, moving +1.98% from the previous trading session. The stock exceeded the S&P 500, which registered a loss of 0.84% for the day. At the same time, the Dow lost 0.7%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost 0.91%.

Heading into today, shares of the refiner had gained 1.62% over the past month, outpacing the Oils-Energy sector's loss of 0% and the S&P 500's gain of 1.44%.

Investors will be eagerly watching for the performance of Marathon Petroleum in its upcoming earnings disclosure. The company's earnings report is set to be unveiled on August 5, 2025. The company's upcoming EPS is projected at $3.38, signifying a 17.96% drop compared to the same quarter of the previous year. Alongside, our most recent consensus estimate is anticipating revenue of $30.91 billion, indicating a 19.43% downward movement from the same quarter last year.

Regarding the entire year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates forecast earnings of $6.95 per share and revenue of $124.6 billion, indicating changes of -26.92% and -11.26%, respectively, compared to the previous year.

Investors should also take note of any recent adjustments to analyst estimates for Marathon Petroleum. These revisions typically reflect the latest short-term business trends, which can change frequently. Therefore, positive revisions in estimates convey analysts' confidence in the business performance and profit potential.

Our research demonstrates that these adjustments in estimates directly associate with imminent stock price performance. To exploit this, we've formed the Zacks Rank, a quantitative model that includes these estimate changes and presents a viable rating system.

The Zacks Rank system, ranging from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), possesses a remarkable history of outdoing, externally audited, with #1 stocks returning an average annual gain of +25% since 1988. The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has moved 0.69% higher within the past month. Marathon Petroleum currently has a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).

In terms of valuation, Marathon Petroleum is currently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 24.02. Its industry sports an average Forward P/E of 17.35, so one might conclude that Marathon Petroleum is trading at a premium comparatively.

Investors should also note that MPC has a PEG ratio of 3.29 right now. Comparable to the widely accepted P/E ratio, the PEG ratio also accounts for the company's projected earnings growth. As of the close of trade yesterday, the Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry held an average PEG ratio of 1.61.

The Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry is part of the Oils-Energy sector. This group has a Zacks Industry Rank of 143, putting it in the bottom 42% of all 250+ industries.

The Zacks Industry Rank evaluates the power of our distinct industry groups by determining the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks forming the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.

Keep in mind to rely on Zacks.com to watch all these stock-impacting metrics, and more, in the succeeding trading sessions.

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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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