Allison Transmission’s first quarter saw revenue decline and miss Wall Street estimates, but the market responded positively, signaling confidence in the company’s operational discipline and margin performance. Management attributed the quarter’s results to robust pricing actions, ongoing strength in North American vocational trucks, and increased defense market sales. CEO David Graziosi highlighted the impact of recent product launches and capacity investments, while COO Fred Bohley pointed to improved gross profit driven by higher prices and the absence of last year’s one-time labor costs. "We continue to enjoy significant market position in vocational vehicles, supported by investments to increase capacity," Graziosi commented.
Is now the time to buy ALSN? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
Allison Transmission (ALSN) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $766 million vs analyst estimates of $790.9 million (2.9% year-on-year decline, 3.2% miss)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $287 million vs analyst estimates of $282.3 million (37.5% margin, 1.7% beat)
- The company reconfirmed its revenue guidance for the full year of $3.25 billion at the midpoint
- EBITDA guidance for the full year is $1.2 billion at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $1.15 billion
- Operating Margin: 32.5%, up from 29.7% in the same quarter last year
- Market Capitalization: $7.83 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions.
Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated.
Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions Allison Transmission’s Q1 Earnings Call
- Kyle Menges (Citigroup) asked about the drivers behind robust margin expansion despite lower parts sales. COO Frederick Bohley detailed that pricing actions and the absence of last year’s labor-related costs were key contributors.
- Isaac Chausen (Oppenheimer) inquired about the sustainability of vocational truck demand. CEO David Graziosi explained that demand remains stable, especially among municipal customers, and that capacity investments position Allison to meet market needs.
- Tim Thein (Raymond James) questioned capital allocation priorities and potential for M&A. Graziosi and Bohley reaffirmed a focus on organic growth, ongoing share repurchases, and selective evaluation of acquisition opportunities.
- Rob Wertheimer (Melius Research) asked about potential impacts from trade investigations and regional haul exposure. Graziosi responded that Allison’s North American supply chain limits risk and that the company is prepared for various regulatory outcomes.
- Tami Zakaria (JPMorgan) probed on the outlook for pricing trends. Bohley confirmed that mid-single digit pricing increases are achievable, reflecting continued strength in Allison’s pricing power.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will be watching (1) whether Allison’s new OEM partnerships and product launches, including the FuelSense 2.0 rollout and Indian defense contract, translate into incremental sales; (2) the pace of recovery or further softness in the global parts and medium-duty truck markets; and (3) the company’s ability to sustain margin improvements amid evolving regulatory, tariff, and material cost environments. Execution on capital allocation and supply chain strategy will also be important markers of success.
Allison Transmission currently trades at $92.88, in line with $93.33 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).
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