Stable Yield & Growth: Duke Energy Upgraded to Buy by Goldman

By Jeffrey Neal Johnson | June 28, 2025, 8:04 AM

Duke energy trading smartphone

A recent, decisive move by a prominent Wall Street investment bank has turned the lights back on in the utility sector. This endorsement was a strategic and emphatic call, signaling a potential shift in institutional sentiment that shines like a lighthouse beacon calling investors to harbor.

In a market grappling with uncertainty, investors often seek assets that can help stabilize their volatile portfolios. As the investment landscape increasingly prioritizes defensive growth, one corporation quickly emerges as a frontrunner.

Its performance and strategy are noteworthy and are beginning to provide a compelling blueprint for reliability and steady returns in an otherwise unpredictable economic climate.

Goldman's Bullish Signal on Duke

The influential firm, Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), has recently upgraded Duke Energy (NYSE: DUK) from Neutral to a confident Buy.

This was not a minor adjustment because it came with an updated price target of $132.00 per share, implying a newly formed upside when compared to its previous rating and Duke’s current trading price. Investors can see this call as more than just an opinion on a single stock.

It reflects a core belief that Duke Energy's blend of regulated operations and a clear growth plan offers a superior risk-reward profile. In a market where high-flying growth stocks face headwinds, Goldman's move signals a strategic pivot toward the quality and predictability that a best-in-class utility like Duke can provide.

Duke's $145 Billion Growth Engine

The foundation of the bullish case for Duke Energy is its clear and quantifiable growth plan: a $145 billion capital investment program spanning the next decade. For a regulated utility, this is the direct engine of earnings growth. The business model is refreshingly simple. Duke invests in critical infrastructure, such as grid modernization and new clean energy sources. These investments expand the company's rate base, and state regulators then allow Duke to earn a predictable return on that growing value.

This regulated process creates a transparent path to growth. Duke expects to deliver its target of 5% to 7% annual earnings growth through this process.

Duke is already executing on this strategy, and the results are starting to show. In its first-quarter 2025 financial report, Duke posted an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.76. This soundly beat analyst estimates and showed significant growth from the prior year, providing tangible proof that the company's multi-billion-dollar growth engine is already delivering.

The Shareholder Payoff: A Century of Reliability

The cornerstone of Duke's defensive appeal is its unwavering commitment to shareholder returns.

The stock offers a healthy dividend yield of approximately 3.59%, providing a steady and reliable income stream for investors.Duke Energy has an impressive history of paying a quarterly cash dividend for 99 consecutive years and has increased the dividend for the past 20 years.

This long-standing track record provides a pillar of stability and predictable total returns, a crucial feature for investors seeking to fortify their portfolios against market volatility.

Smart Moves: How Duke Manages Risk

A capital plan of this magnitude requires extremely perceptive financial and operational management, and Duke has demonstrated its capability through key strategic actions. First, the company fortified its balance sheet by completing the $2.8 billion sale of its non-regulated Commercial Renewables business.

This move, which was viewed positively by credit rating agencies, enables the company to fund its growth with reduced reliance on new debt, demonstrating prudent financial discipline.

Second, on the regulatory front, recent legislative discussions in North Carolina provide Duke with greater operational flexibility to meet its long-term climate goals. This allows the company to manage the pace of its energy transition in a way that ensures grid reliability and customer affordability. By skillfully navigating its regulatory environment, Duke fosters the constructive, long-term relationships that are essential for sustained success and predictable returns.

Duke's Dual Appeal: Income and Growth

Duke’s recent upgrade from Goldman Sachs should provide investors with the comfort of a vote of confidence and the affirmation of a well-executed corporate strategy.

Duke Energy offers investors a compelling dual proposition: the stability of a rock-solid, growing dividend and a transparent, regulated pathway to steady earnings growth.

By proactively strengthening its financial position and skillfully managing its regulatory environment, Duke has solidified its position as a premier name in the utility sector.

For those seeking a defensive anchor in today's market without sacrificing consistent growth, Duke Energy presents a clearly lit path to consider.

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The article "Stable Yield & Growth: Duke Energy Upgraded to Buy by Goldman" first appeared on MarketBeat.

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