Dropbox's Q1 Earnings Call: Our Top 5 Analyst Questions

By Petr Huřťák | June 30, 2025, 6:25 AM

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Dropbox’s first quarter results came in ahead of Wall Street’s expectations for both revenue and non-GAAP profitability, but the company reported a modest year-over-year sales decline and a slight drop in paying users. Management attributed the quarter’s outcome to deliberate reductions in marketing and headcount, particularly within the FormSwift business, which pressured top-line growth but boosted margins. CEO Drew Houston emphasized that product improvements—especially in onboarding and user experience for teams—drove better-than-expected retention and engagement, noting a 50% year-over-year increase in desktop activations.

Is now the time to buy DBX? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Dropbox (DBX) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $624.7 million vs analyst estimates of $620.2 million (1% year-on-year decline, 0.7% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.70 vs analyst estimates of $0.62 (12.6% beat)
  • Adjusted Operating Income: $260.5 million vs analyst estimates of $237.2 million (41.7% margin, 9.8% beat)
  • Operating Margin: 29.4%, up from 22.7% in the same quarter last year
  • Customers: 18.16 million, down from 18.22 million in the previous quarter
  • Annual Recurring Revenue: $2.55 billion at quarter end, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Billings: $636.8 million at quarter end, down 1.7% year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $7.92 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions Dropbox’s Q1 Earnings Call

  • Steve Enders (Citi) asked about drivers of better-than-expected user retention. CEO Drew Houston highlighted onboarding improvements and focus on Teams customers, while CFO Tim Regan noted expectations for continued headwinds from FormSwift.
  • Rishi Jaluria (RBC) inquired about Dash’s differentiation and customer feedback versus competitors. Houston cited unique features supporting images, video, and compliance, and emphasized Dash’s appeal among creative professionals and IT administrators.
  • Matt Bullock (Bank of America) questioned the sustainability of lower R&D spend. Regan explained that some cost savings were timing-related, but investments in Dash R&D and marketing are expected to increase as the year progresses.
  • Alex Nguyen (Jefferies) asked about the Promoted AI acquisition and its impact. Houston said the team would strengthen Dash’s AI and search capabilities, with integration focused on enhancing machine learning talent rather than leveraging advertising technology.
  • Patrick Walravens (Citizens) sought clarity on technical challenges in building integrations. Houston described the complexity and resource intensity of developing reliable connectors, which require significant in-house R&D for scalability and security.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In upcoming quarters, the StockStory team will be monitoring (1) the pace and breadth of Dash adoption, particularly through self-serve channels and expanded integrations; (2) execution on improving user retention and stemming declines in paying users; and (3) the impact of renewed investments in sales, marketing, and R&D on both Dash growth and core business margins. Progress on leveraging AI and data center modernization will also be key indicators of future performance.

Dropbox currently trades at $28.90, down from $29.69 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).

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