Procter & Gamble’s first quarter results drew a negative market response, as consumer and retail volatility led to a year-on-year sales decline and a modest miss against Wall Street’s revenue expectations. Management attributed this outcome to lower consumption levels in both the U.S. and Europe, driven by consumer caution, shifting shopping patterns, and inventory reductions at major retailers. CFO Andre Schulten described the environment as “a logical response from the consumer to pause,” highlighting increased movement toward value channels and persistent economic uncertainty. Despite these headwinds, the company maintained its focus on brand innovation and market share retention, noting that its strongest categories continued to outperform peers even as overall demand softened.
Is now the time to buy PG? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
Procter & Gamble (PG) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $19.78 billion vs analyst estimates of $20.15 billion (2.1% year-on-year decline, 1.9% miss)
- Adjusted EPS: $1.54 vs analyst estimates of $1.53 (0.9% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $5.49 billion vs analyst estimates of $5.40 billion (27.8% margin, 1.6% beat)
- Management lowered its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to $6.77 at the midpoint, a 3% decrease
- Operating Margin: 24.1%, up from 22.6% in the same quarter last year
- Organic Revenue was flat year on year (3% in the same quarter last year)
- Sales Volumes fell 1% year on year (0% in the same quarter last year)
- Market Capitalization: $374.8 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions.
Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated.
Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions Procter & Gamble’s Q1 Earnings Call
- Lauren Lieberman (Barclays) asked about the impact of consumer slowdown and retail inventory reductions in the U.S. and Europe. CFO Andre Schulten highlighted increased consumer caution and a shift toward value channels, reiterating the focus on innovation and market share defense.
- Bryan Spillane (Bank of America) sought clarity on category growth rates and the levers available to offset tariff costs through 2026. Schulten projected a slow return to historical growth rates and emphasized productivity, innovation, and selective pricing as main tools.
- Steve Powers (Deutsche Bank) questioned whether investment levels in innovation and demand creation would change due to recent softness. Schulten confirmed media and advertising spending would stay consistent, with a focus on supporting new product launches.
- Olivia Tong (Raymond James) inquired about the company’s approach to tariff mitigation, especially in categories with high private label exposure. Schulten explained that mitigation strategies would vary by brand and market, combining productivity, sourcing, and pricing actions.
- Kaumil Gajrawala (Jefferies) asked if macro and tariff pressures would slow the pace of innovation launches. Schulten stated there was no change to rollout plans, emphasizing the importance of clear, category-growing innovation even in volatile conditions.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will be watching (1) the pace and effectiveness of price increases and productivity initiatives aimed at offsetting tariff and cost inflation, (2) evidence that new product launches are driving incremental category growth and market share gains, and (3) stabilization or recovery in key markets like China and Europe. Execution on channel strategy and consumer engagement will also be important indicators of performance.
Procter & Gamble currently trades at $159.67, down from $165.66 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).
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