Over the last six months, Dime Community Bancshares’s shares have sunk to $28, producing a disappointing 12.6% loss - a stark contrast to the S&P 500’s 5.2% gain. This was partly driven by its softer quarterly results and may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.
Is now the time to buy Dime Community Bancshares, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Check out our in-depth research report to see what our analysts have to say, it’s free.
Why Is Dime Community Bancshares Not Exciting?
Even with the cheaper entry price, we don't have much confidence in Dime Community Bancshares. Here are three reasons why we avoid DCOM and a stock we'd rather own.
1. Revenue Tumbling Downwards
We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within financials, a stretched historical view may miss recent interest rate changes, market returns, and industry trends. Dime Community Bancshares’s recent performance marks a sharp pivot from its five-year trend as its revenue has shown annualized declines of 10.2% over the last two years.
Note: Quarters not shown were determined to be outliers, impacted by outsized investment gains/losses that are not indicative of the recurring fundamentals of the business.2. Net Interest Margin Dropping
Net interest margin represents how much a bank earns in relation to its outstanding loans. It’s one of the most important metrics to track because it shows how a bank’s loans are performing and whether it has the ability to command higher premiums for its services.
Over the past two years, Dime Community Bancshares’s net interest margin averaged 2.5%. Its margin also contracted by 51.7 basis points (100 basis points = 1 percentage point) over that period.
This decline was a headwind for its net interest income. While prevailing rates are a major determinant of net interest margin changes over time, the decline could mean Dime Community Bancshares either faced competition for loans and deposits or experienced a negative mix shift in its balance sheet composition.
3. EPS Took a Dip Over the Last Two Years
Although long-term earnings trends give us the big picture, we like to analyze EPS over a shorter period to see if we are missing a change in the business.
Sadly for Dime Community Bancshares, its EPS declined by more than its revenue over the last two years, dropping 35%. This tells us the company struggled to adjust to shrinking demand.
Final Judgment
Dime Community Bancshares isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our quality test. After the recent drawdown, the stock trades at 0.9× forward P/B (or $28 per share). Investors with a higher risk tolerance might like the company, but we don’t really see a big opportunity at the moment. We're pretty confident there are superior stocks to buy right now. We’d suggest looking at an all-weather company that owns household favorite Taco Bell.
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