Annaly Capital Management’s second quarter results reflected the impact of ongoing market volatility and evolving housing sector conditions. Despite a year-over-year increase in sales and non-GAAP earnings per share exceeding consensus, the company’s revenue fell well below Wall Street’s expectations. Management attributed performance to disciplined portfolio management across agency mortgage-backed securities, residential credit, and mortgage servicing rights. CEO David Finkelstein highlighted, “Q2 marked the seventh consecutive quarter of generating a positive economic return for our shareholders, demonstrating the diversification benefit of our three fully scaled housing finance strategies.”
Is now the time to buy NLY? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
Annaly Capital Management (NLY) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $110.8 million vs analyst estimates of $429.9 million (131% year-on-year growth, 74.2% miss)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.73 vs analyst estimates of $0.71 (2.5% beat)
- Market Capitalization: $13.37 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions.
Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated.
Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions Annaly Capital Management’s Q2 Earnings Call
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Bose Thomas George (KBW): Asked about book value trends and dividend sustainability. CEO David Finkelstein said book value was up about 0.5% quarter-to-date and reaffirmed confidence in the dividend being covered by earnings, citing consistent outperformance over recent quarters.
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Douglas Michael Harter (UBS): Questioned the approach to leverage during market volatility. Finkelstein explained that low leverage provided flexibility to let it drift higher as needed, with a primary focus on managing rate exposure rather than taking on excess risk.
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Richard Barry Shane (JPMorgan): Sought details on residential credit portfolio risks amid negative home price appreciation. Finkelstein and Co-Chief Investment Officer Mike Fania described proactive credit tightening and low LTVs, asserting the portfolio would remain resilient even under significant stress scenarios.
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Jason Michael Stewart (Janney Montgomery Scott): Asked about the outlook for GSE reform and its impact on private credit markets. Finkelstein expected continued opportunity for Annaly in noncore loan origination, while Fania noted the correspondent channel is already capitalizing on agency pricing advantages.
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Crispin Elliot Love (Piper Sandler): Probed agency MBS demand drivers. Management cited strong inflows to fixed income funds but limited participation from banks and overseas accounts, with expectations for increased demand if regulatory reform and monetary easing progress.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
Looking ahead, the StockStory team will watch (1) whether agency MBS demand increases as the Federal Reserve potentially cuts rates and regulatory reforms materialize; (2) further growth and quality enhancements in the residential credit portfolio, especially if housing market headwinds intensify; and (3) Annaly’s progress in expanding mortgage servicing rights relationships and lowering servicing costs through technology partnerships. The company’s ability to manage leverage and funding flexibility will also be closely monitored.
Annaly Capital Management currently trades at $20.89, up from $20.45 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).
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