Global entertainment and media company Disney (NYSE:DIS) met Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q2 CY2025, with sales up 2.1% year on year to $23.65 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $1.61 per share was 11.5% above analysts’ consensus estimates.
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Disney (DIS) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $23.65 billion vs analyst estimates of $23.76 billion (2.1% year-on-year growth, in line)
- Adjusted EPS: $1.61 vs analyst estimates of $1.44 (11.5% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $5.04 billion vs analyst estimates of $5.09 billion (21.3% margin, 0.9% miss)
- Adjusted EPS guidance for the full year is $5.85 at the midpoint, beating analyst estimates by 1.2%
- Operating Margin: 15.7%, down from 16.8% in the same quarter last year
- Market Capitalization: $202.4 billion
StockStory’s Take
Disney’s Q2 results aligned with Wall Street’s revenue expectations, but the market reacted negatively as investors weighed margin pressures and shifting business dynamics. Management highlighted the impact of cost inflation and ongoing investment in content and technology. CEO Bob Iger attributed the quarter’s performance to the success of new film franchises and continued momentum in the Parks and Experiences segment, but also acknowledged that operating margins faced headwinds from higher expenses and evolving consumer behavior.
Looking ahead, Disney’s updated full-year profit guidance draws on strategic moves in streaming and sports. Management expects the full integration of Hulu into Disney+ and the launch of ESPN’s direct-to-consumer service to drive engagement and reduce churn. Iger described the ESPN-NFL agreement as “one of the most important steps ESPN has taken,” signaling confidence that expanded sports content and bundled offerings can support subscriber growth and profitability. The company, however, remains cautious about international consumer demand and competitive pressures in its parks business.
Key Insights from Management’s Remarks
Disney’s leadership focused on the importance of new content launches, digital platform integration, and sports rights acquisitions as main levers for both recent performance and strategic direction.
- Film franchise momentum: Management credited the live-action Lilo & Stitch and Marvel’s The Fantastic Four: First Steps for driving strong results in consumer products and theatrical revenue, noting Lilo & Stitch’s rapid ascent as a merchandise leader.
- Streaming platform integration: The announcement to fully merge Hulu into Disney+ was positioned as a major step to enhance subscriber experience, lower churn, and improve advertising opportunities. The integration is expected to streamline operations and create new bundling options for consumers.
- ESPN’s direct-to-consumer push: Disney is preparing to launch a comprehensive ESPN digital offering, including the recent NFL Network acquisition and exclusive rights to WWE Premium Live Events. Management believes this will expand sports content, increase engagement, and open new revenue streams.
- Theme park and cruise expansion: Ongoing global expansions in theme parks and the addition of cruise ships—including a flagship vessel in Asia—were highlighted as drivers for the Experiences segment, with management pointing to strong forward bookings and regional brand growth.
- International market challenges: While domestic parks and cruises performed well, management acknowledged weaker per capita spending in China, attributing this to consumer stress, and noted the need for targeted international investment in streaming content and technology.
Drivers of Future Performance
Disney expects that expanded sports content, streaming integration, and continued investment in experiences will shape its growth and profitability over the next year.
- ESPN and NFL content expansion: Management believes the expanded NFL partnership and new digital features will increase subscriber engagement, lower churn, and boost advertising and affiliate revenue for ESPN’s direct-to-consumer platform.
- Unified streaming platform: The full integration of Hulu into Disney+ is expected to drive higher user engagement and operational efficiencies, while providing opportunities for targeted advertising and differentiated pricing models, especially as Hulu becomes the global general entertainment brand.
- Theme park and cruise growth: The launch of two new cruise ships and continued park expansions are projected to support growth in the Experiences segment, but management cautioned that cost pressures and variable international demand remain potential risks.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
Looking forward, the StockStory team will monitor (1) the rollout and subscriber response to the unified Disney+ and Hulu app, (2) the launch impact and engagement trends from ESPN’s direct-to-consumer offering and expanded NFL content, and (3) the performance of new cruise ships and park expansions in global markets. The evolution of advertising revenue and international streaming adoption will also be key indicators of strategic execution.
Disney currently trades at $112.59, down from $118.41 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
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