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5 Must-Read Analyst Questions From Middleby's Q2 Earnings Call

By Max Juang | August 13, 2025, 1:35 AM

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Middleby’s second quarter was met with a significant negative market reaction, reflecting investor concerns around softening organic growth and margin compression. Management attributed the underperformance primarily to weaker demand from large chain restaurant customers, who faced declining traffic and cost pressures, causing them to defer new equipment purchases and restaurant openings. CEO Tim FitzGerald acknowledged that “revenues reflect the reduction in demand from our largest chain customers that are experiencing challenges with lower traffic and cost pressures, resulting in deferred replacement business and revisions down in restaurant openings.” While the company saw sequential improvements in its food processing and residential segments, the near-term headwinds in core commercial foodservice overshadowed these positives.

Is now the time to buy MIDD? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Middleby (MIDD) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $977.9 million vs analyst estimates of $972.2 million (1.4% year-on-year decline, 0.6% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $2.35 vs analyst estimates of $2.23 (5.3% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $200.2 million vs analyst estimates of $202.8 million (20.5% margin, 1.3% miss)
  • Revenue Guidance for the full year is $3.84 billion at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $3.88 billion
  • Adjusted EPS guidance for the full year is $8.85 at the midpoint, missing analyst estimates by 4.2%
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $785 million at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $835 million
  • Operating Margin: 15.9%, down from 17.7% in the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue fell 5.4% year on year vs analyst estimates of 3.7% declines (170.5 basis point miss)
  • Market Capitalization: $6.60 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Middleby’s Q2 Earnings Call

  • Saree Boroditsky (Jefferies) asked about the contribution to EBITDA by segment and how tariffs are being offset. CFO Bryan Mittelman explained margins will dip in Q3 before improving in Q4 as price increases and cost controls take hold.

  • Joe Grabowski (R.W. Baird) questioned whether the QSR customer pipeline delays would push growth to next year. Chief Commercial Officer Steven Spittle confirmed, “that pipeline certainly has pushed out to the right, if you will, and it's pushing more and more into 2026.”

  • Jeff Hammond (KeyBanc) requested detail on the segment breakdown of tariff impact. Spittle clarified commercial foodservice bears the largest share, with residential and food processing less affected due to their sourcing mix.

  • Tim Thein (Raymond James) inquired whether QSR customers are trading down to lower-spec equipment. Spittle responded that QSRs are actually investing in higher-technology products to improve efficiency and reduce labor needs.

  • Tami Zakaria (JPMorgan) asked about direct-to-customer (DTC) initiatives. CEO Tim FitzGerald explained that while Middleby is not moving to direct sales, it is heavily investing in digital tools and service initiatives to strengthen end customer engagement.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

Looking ahead, the StockStory team will be monitoring (1) the pace and effectiveness of tariff mitigation efforts and related pricing actions, (2) signs of QSR customer spending resuming or replacement cycles accelerating, and (3) the ramp-up and reception of new product launches in both residential and commercial segments. Execution on the food processing spin-off and continued progress integrating acquisitions will also be critical milestones for tracking Middleby’s recovery and long-term positioning.

Middleby currently trades at $130, down from $144.83 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).

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