New: Introducing the Finviz Crypto Map

Learn More

5 Revealing Analyst Questions From ADP's Q2 Earnings Call

By Kayode Omotosho | August 13, 2025, 12:20 AM

ADP Cover Image

Automatic Data Processing’s second quarter results were characterized by steady revenue growth and stable operating margins. Management attributed the quarter’s performance to continued momentum in its Next Gen product suite, expanding AI-driven features, and strengthening client retention across both small business and enterprise segments. CEO Maria Black pointed to “broad-based” improvements in client satisfaction and retention, especially as enhancements to the Lyric platform and the integration of WorkForce Software began to pay off. Management acknowledged that Employer Services bookings in HR Outsourcing were softer than anticipated, largely due to delayed decision-making among larger clients, but emphasized strong pipelines moving into the next quarter.

Is now the time to buy ADP? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

ADP (ADP) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $5.13 billion vs analyst estimates of $5.03 billion (7.5% year-on-year growth, 1.9% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $2.26 vs analyst estimates of $2.23 (1.5% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $1.33 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.34 billion (25.9% margin, 0.6% miss)
  • Revenue Guidance for Q3 CY2025 is $5.10 billion at the midpoint, roughly in line with what analysts were expecting
  • Operating Margin: 23.5%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Worksite Employees: 764,000, up 8,000 year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $121.4 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From ADP’s Q2 Earnings Call

  • Bryan C. Bergin (TD Cowen) asked about the underperformance in Employer Services HR Outsourcing bookings and whether the pipeline was at risk of cancellations. CEO Maria Black clarified that most deals were delayed, not lost, and the pipeline remains healthy.

  • Ramsey Clark El-Assal (Barclays) sought details on pricing trends and retention outperformance. CFO Peter Hadley noted pricing remains elevated compared to pre-pandemic levels, and retention gains were broad-based, especially among small businesses.

  • Mark Steven Marcon (Robert W. Baird) questioned the impact of integrating WorkForce Software and the expected lift from rolling out Next Gen Workforce Now in the mid-market. Black and Hadley responded that both initiatives are contributing to bookings and client satisfaction, with ongoing expansion planned.

  • Scott Darren Wurtzel (Wolfe Research) inquired about the drivers behind the growth in zero-margin pass-through revenue in the PEO segment. Hadley explained that health insurance inflation and a moderation in wage growth are key contributors.

  • David Paige Papadogonas (RBC Capital Markets) asked about the direct contribution of AI to margins and ongoing investments. Hadley stated that while real productivity gains are being realized, the company remains in a net investment position as it continues to deploy new generative AI capabilities.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

Looking forward, the StockStory team will be tracking (1) the pace of adoption for Lyric and Next Gen Payroll across new and existing client segments, (2) the contribution of embedded payroll partnerships and international expansion to bookings growth, and (3) the realization of operational efficiencies from AI investments. Execution on integrating recently acquired businesses and maintaining high client retention will also be critical in assessing ADP’s trajectory.

ADP currently trades at $300, down from $308.83 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).

Our Favorite Stocks Right Now

When Trump unveiled his aggressive tariff plan in April 2025, markets tanked as investors feared a full-blown trade war. But those who panicked and sold missed the subsequent rebound that’s already erased most losses.

Don’t let fear keep you from great opportunities and take a look at Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Exlservice (+354% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Latest News