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Accel Entertainment's Q2 Earnings Call: Our Top 5 Analyst Questions

By Jabin Bastian | August 12, 2025, 11:13 PM

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Accel Entertainment’s second quarter results exceeded Wall Street’s revenue and profit expectations, yet the market responded negatively. Management pointed to disciplined expansion in both established and developing markets as the main growth drivers, with Illinois and Montana remaining foundational. CEO Andy Rubenstein emphasized strategic initiatives such as game enhancements and location optimization, noting that “local gaming is an incredibly attractive, resilient and a growing segment within the broader gaming market.” Despite revenue records, investors appeared concerned about operational challenges and segment-specific declines, particularly in Nevada.

Is now the time to buy ACEL? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Accel Entertainment (ACEL) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $335.9 million vs analyst estimates of $332.5 million (8.6% year-on-year growth, 1% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.26 vs analyst estimates of $0.22 (15.2% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $53.18 million vs analyst estimates of $52.69 million (15.8% margin, 0.9% beat)
  • Operating Margin: 8%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Video Gaming Terminals Sold: 27,388, up 907 year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $950.8 million

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Accel Entertainment’s Q2 Earnings Call

  • Chad C. Beynon (Macquarie): Asked for details on Illinois growth consistency amid consumer volatility. Acting CFO Mark Phelan responded that growth was steady throughout the quarter, with no significant fluctuations in volume.
  • Chad C. Beynon (Macquarie): Inquired about the scale and leverage of future M&A. CEO Andy Rubenstein stated Accel will remain conservative, targeting smaller acquisitions adjacent to current markets without significantly increasing leverage.
  • Chad C. Beynon (Macquarie): Queried about synergies from recent acquisitions. Rubenstein highlighted Accel’s advantages in technology and operational expertise, which enable margin improvement in acquired businesses.
  • Steven Donald Pizzella (Deutsche Bank): Sought expectations for TITO system impact in Illinois. Rubenstein replied it is too early to quantify, as implementation is in early stages, but expects reduced cash handling and improved player experience.
  • Gregory Thomas Gibas (Northland): Questioned Fairmount Park’s performance relative to expectations and Phase 2 timing. Phelan indicated initial results matched internal projections and that Phase 2 planning depends on operational learnings and regulatory coordination.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In upcoming quarters, our team will watch (1) the pace of Fairmount Park’s ramp-up and its impact on adjusted EBITDA, (2) the successful integration and margin improvement from the Toucan Gaming acquisition and other potential M&A activity, and (3) the rollout of TITO systems in Illinois and its effect on operational efficiency. Progress on regulatory approvals and capital project execution will also be key indicators of Accel’s ability to translate expansion strategies into sustained growth.

Accel Entertainment currently trades at $11.28, down from $12.39 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).

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