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Offerpad's Q2 Earnings Call: Our Top 5 Analyst Questions

By Anthony Lee | August 12, 2025, 11:05 PM

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Offerpad’s second quarter results were met with a negative market reaction, as the company missed Wall Street’s expectations for both revenue and adjusted earnings per share. Management attributed the underperformance to persistent affordability challenges, increased listing inventory, and weaker-than-expected spring home selling activity. CEO Brian Bair pointed to “a more competitive environment for sellers with homes sitting on the market longer and often selling below asking price,” and acknowledged that high interest rates and selective buyer demand are limiting transaction activity.

Is now the time to buy OPAD? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Offerpad (OPAD) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $160.3 million vs analyst estimates of $177.4 million (36.2% year-on-year decline, 9.6% miss)
  • Adjusted EPS: -$0.40 vs analyst expectations of -$0.38 (7.6% miss)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: -$4.79 million vs analyst estimates of -$5.37 million (-3% margin, relatively in line)
  • Revenue Guidance for Q3 CY2025 is $150 million at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $238.6 million
  • Operating Margin: -4.9%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Homes Sold: 452, down 290 year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $42.51 million

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Offerpad’s Q2 Earnings Call

  • Dae K. Lee (JPMorgan) asked about Offerpad’s approach to home acquisitions and underwriting spreads for the remainder of the year. CEO Brian Bair said the company remains disciplined, focusing on pockets with decent transaction activity and maintaining higher spreads due to ongoing market caution.
  • Dae K. Lee (JPMorgan) also inquired about the growth mix between Renovate and HomePro. Bair responded that HomePro is expected to become a larger part of the asset-light offering as more sellers seek flexible options, while Renovate continues to serve business clients.
  • Yvonne Jeng (KBW) questioned the economics of HomePro versus traditional cash offers. CFO Peter Knag explained that while revenue recognition differs, per-transaction profitability is similar, and the mix shift will drive higher gross profit with lower reported revenue.
  • Yvonne Jeng (KBW) followed up regarding the company’s capital position post-raise. Knag expressed confidence in liquidity, citing continuing cost reductions and improved lending terms as key factors in supporting Offerpad’s path to breakeven.
  • Vincent Nugent Kardos (Jefferies) asked if the goal of 1,000 homes per quarter remains relevant with the asset-light shift. Knag clarified that 1,000 total transactions—including asset-light services—remains the target for breakeven, with a focus on scaling efficiently through technology and cost management.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the quarters ahead, the StockStory team will be monitoring (1) the pace of adoption and revenue contribution from asset-light platforms like HomePro and Renovate, (2) the company’s ability to sustain operating cost reductions and margin improvements, and (3) any signs of stabilization or rebound in housing market activity that could lift transaction volumes. Execution on technology-driven efficiencies and continued expansion of the Direct+ marketplace will also be important areas to track.

Offerpad currently trades at $1.40, up from $1.21 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

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