Can New AI-Powered Devices Propel Apple Stock Higher?

Key Points

• Apple plans to get back to innovating, and is set to introduce a spate of new AI-powered smart-home products.

• The company hasn't had a hit new product in a while, and could use a new growth driver.

• Meanwhile, it continues to face some potential risks.

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Bloomberg reported last week that Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) is preparing for a fresh round of new product innovations. Among the company's rumored plans are a tabletop robot, a smart speaker with a display, and home-security cameras. The robot, targeted for a 2027 launch, would act as a moving virtual assistant, swiveling to follow a conversation and offering a more lifelike version of Siri.

Apple hasn't had a major new product launch success story in quite some time. Its virtual reality headset, Vision Pro, was too expensive and didn't generate the momentum it hoped for. And Apple Intelligence, its version of an artificial intelligence (AI) assistant, is still trying to find its footing. This new hardware push is meant to change all that, with the smart-home market a clear target.

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The most attention-grabbing new innovation is the tabletop robot, which would act as a lifelike virtual companion and be able to engage in back-and-forth conversations with multiple people. However, Apple's other offerings also have some solid potential. If these products can gain traction, they could turn Apple into an important player in the smart-home market.

Image source: Apple.

Taking some big swings

Given its size, Apple has the resources to make big bets. However, it has generally been very conservative and calculated when it comes to introducing new products. That could be about to change, though. And with the company widely considered to be behind in AI and not having a new hit product in years, now is the time for it to take some bigger swings and be less conservative.

That said, Apple still has a lot to prove. The Vision Pro experience showed how tough it is to make an expensive new device a mainstream hit. For this new AI-powered hardware lineup to work, Apple will need to deliver more than impressive demos. The products must be compelling enough to drive sales in meaningful volumes.

Apple CEO Tim Cook has called the product pipeline "amazing" and says some launches are coming soon. However, until these devices hit the market, we really won't know if they will help move the needle.

Risks remain

On the other hand, Apple continues to face some risks. While iPhone sales picked up last quarter, that could largely be due to a pull forward of demand, as many news outlets discussed how expensive tariffs could make iPhones. This likely led some Apple diehards to run out and upgrade their devices.

However, the iPhone replacement cycle has generally been lengthening, and hardware sales growth has been pretty modest in recent years. At the same time, tariffs are weighing on its hardware gross margins, as Apple has not yet passed along those costs to consumers.

China has also been a trouble spot. That changed last quarter, when Apple's sales rose 4% in the region and it reported that its iPhone installed base hit an all-time high. Still, the company has been facing tough local competition and ceding market share in China.

There's also a regulatory shadow. An antitrust case against Alphabet could threaten the exclusive Google search deal that sends Apple billions of dollars each year. That arrangement may now be worth around $28 billion annually, which was more than 20% of Apple's 2024 operating income. Losing even part of that would hurt, as Apple relies on high margins for its business success.

The bottom line

You have to give Apple some credit for having a clear plan to reassert itself in AI-driven hardware. If the company can create a must-have home product, it could strengthen its already powerful ecosystem and open new revenue streams. Its services business is already strong, and the more Apple products are available out there, the stronger it becomes.

Despite its ups and downs, its stock is not cheap. Shares trade at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 29 based on analyst estimates for the company's fiscal 2026 (which ends in September 2026). To really justify that multiple, Apple will need its growth to start to pick up.

Its new AI products could help in that regard, but at these levels I'd prefer to take a wait-and-see approach.

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Geoffrey Seiler has positions in Alphabet. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet and Apple. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.