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United Airlines (UAL) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: Here's Why

By Zacks Equity Research | September 30, 2025, 6:15 PM

In the latest trading session, United Airlines (UAL) closed at $96.50, marking a -2.17% move from the previous day. The stock trailed the S&P 500, which registered a daily gain of 0.41%. Elsewhere, the Dow gained 0.18%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq added 0.31%.

The airline's stock has dropped by 6.06% in the past month, falling short of the Transportation sector's loss of 0.05% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.15%.

The investment community will be paying close attention to the earnings performance of United Airlines in its upcoming release. The company is slated to reveal its earnings on October 15, 2025. The company's earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be $2.64, reflecting a 20.72% decrease from the same quarter last year. Simultaneously, our latest consensus estimate expects the revenue to be $15.27 billion, showing a 2.88% escalation compared to the year-ago quarter.

For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates project earnings of $10.25 per share and a revenue of $58.84 billion, demonstrating changes of -3.39% and +3.12%, respectively, from the preceding year.

Investors should also take note of any recent adjustments to analyst estimates for United Airlines. These revisions help to show the ever-changing nature of near-term business trends. As a result, upbeat changes in estimates indicate analysts' favorable outlook on the business health and profitability.

Our research demonstrates that these adjustments in estimates directly associate with imminent stock price performance. To capitalize on this, we've crafted the Zacks Rank, a unique model that incorporates these estimate changes and offers a practical rating system.

The Zacks Rank system ranges from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell). It has a remarkable, outside-audited track record of success, with #1 stocks delivering an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has witnessed a 0.21% decrease. United Airlines is currently a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

Investors should also note United Airlines's current valuation metrics, including its Forward P/E ratio of 9.62. Its industry sports an average Forward P/E of 10.16, so one might conclude that United Airlines is trading at a discount comparatively.

It's also important to note that UAL currently trades at a PEG ratio of 1.28. The PEG ratio bears resemblance to the frequently used P/E ratio, but this parameter also includes the company's expected earnings growth trajectory. UAL's industry had an average PEG ratio of 0.8 as of yesterday's close.

The Transportation - Airline industry is part of the Transportation sector. With its current Zacks Industry Rank of 74, this industry ranks in the top 30% of all industries, numbering over 250.

The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the vigor of our specific industry groups by computing the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks incorporated in the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.

Keep in mind to rely on Zacks.com to watch all these stock-impacting metrics, and more, in the succeeding trading sessions.

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United Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL): Free Stock Analysis Report

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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