Strength Seen in Apollo Commerical Finance (ARI): Can Its 7.3% Jump Turn into More Strength?

Apollo Commerical Finance (ARI) shares ended the last trading session 7.3% higher at $8.56. The jump came on an impressive volume with a higher-than-average number of shares changing hands in the session. This compares to the stock's 18.5% loss over the past four weeks.

Apollo Commercial Finance’s surge in its stock price follows the broader market rally driven by the optimism surrounding Trump’s announcement on April 9, 2025, of a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for most trading partners, excluding China. The tariff pause reduced immediate fears of a trade war, fostering a more favorable economic outlook.  The tariff pause will likely ease cost pressure, which improves margins and enhances profitability for mREITs stocks. This optimism boosted investor confidence in the mREIT stocks, like ARI.

This real estate investment trust is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.22 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -37.1%. Revenues are expected to be $42.77 million, down 24.6% from the year-ago quarter.

While earnings and revenue growth expectations are important in evaluating the potential strength in a stock, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements.

For Apollo Commerical Finance, the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days. And a stock's price usually doesn't keep moving higher in the absence of any trend in earnings estimate revisions. So, make sure to keep an eye on ARI going forward to see if this recent jump can turn into more strength down the road.

The stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>>

Apollo Commerical Finance is part of the Zacks REIT and Equity Trust industry. Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT), another stock in the same industry, closed the last trading session 6.6% higher at $18.31. BXMT has returned -15.1% in the past month.

For Blackstone Mortgage

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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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