Monro’s third quarter was marked by a significant negative market reaction following results that missed Wall Street’s revenue expectations. Management attributed the year-over-year sales decline to the closure of 145 underperforming stores and softer consumer demand, particularly among lower-income customers. CEO Peter Fitzsimmons cited progress in digital marketing and customer segmentation as partial offsets, noting, “We have now ramped our refined targeting to almost 600 stores, and we are encouraged to see that these stores are outperforming the balance of our store chain.” The company’s cost controls and improved merchandising, including enhanced vendor support and inventory management, helped maintain operating margins despite the revenue decline.
Is now the time to buy MNRO? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
Monro (MNRO) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $288.9 million vs analyst estimates of $297.4 million (4.1% year-on-year decline, 2.8% miss)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.21 vs analyst estimates of $0.18 (16.7% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $29.26 million vs analyst estimates of $27.5 million (10.1% margin, 6.4% beat)
- Operating Margin: 4.4%, in line with the same quarter last year
- Locations: 1,116 at quarter end, down from 1,272 in the same quarter last year
- Same-Store Sales rose 1.1% year on year (-5.8% in the same quarter last year)
- Market Capitalization: $458.4 million
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions.
Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated.
Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Monro’s Q3 Earnings Call
- Bret Jordan (Jefferies) inquired about the balance between price increases and declining customer traffic. CFO Brian D’Ambrosia explained that traffic was down mid-single digits, but higher average ticket sizes offset this, resulting in positive comparable sales.
- Tom Wendler (Stephens) asked about gross margin improvement and vendor support. D’Ambrosia cited lower occupancy and material costs, while Fitzsimmons highlighted increased marketing support and collaboration from tire vendors.
- David Lantz (Wells Fargo) questioned tire unit declines and the outlook entering peak tire season. D’Ambrosia noted relative outperformance versus industry trends, with management optimistic that marketing and merchandising improvements would drive unit growth.
- Brian Nagel (Oppenheimer) sought clarification on the deceleration of comparable sales and whether it stemmed from external or internal factors. Fitzsimmons attributed it to macro softness but pointed to positive results from new marketing and operational initiatives.
- John Healy (Northcoast Research) asked about benchmarking Monro’s performance against peers and the sustainability of the dividend. Fitzsimmons emphasized Monro’s service-oriented model and cash flow generation, while D’Ambrosia said current cash flows support ongoing dividend payments.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, our analyst team will be monitoring (1) the pace and effectiveness of digital marketing and centralized call center rollouts across the remaining store base, (2) progress on real estate dispositions related to closed stores and the resulting impact on cash flow, and (3) the company’s ability to balance tariff-related cost increases with price adjustments and vendor support. The resilience of consumer demand and the success of new marketing strategies will be key signposts for sustained improvement.
Monro currently trades at $15.27, down from $18.08 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
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