Leonardo DRS’s third quarter saw strong underlying demand, particularly in counter-unmanned aerial systems (UAS), advanced sensing, and naval propulsion technologies, but the market responded negatively to the results. Management pointed to elevated internal research and development (R&D) spending and germanium supply chain constraints as contributing to operating margin pressures. CEO William Lynn highlighted that “demand was most evident for our counter UAS, advanced infrared sensing, naval network computing and electric power and propulsion technologies,” while also noting increased internal investment and supply chain initiatives intended to address these operational challenges.
Is now the time to buy DRS? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
Leonardo DRS (DRS) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $960 million vs analyst estimates of $924.2 million (18.2% year-on-year growth, 3.9% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.29 vs analyst estimates of $0.28 (3.8% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $117 million vs analyst estimates of $116 million (12.2% margin, 0.9% beat)
- The company slightly lifted its revenue guidance for the full year to $3.58 billion at the midpoint from $3.56 billion
- Management slightly raised its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to $1.10 at the midpoint
- EBITDA guidance for the full year is $445 million at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $447.8 million
- Operating Margin: 9.7%, in line with the same quarter last year
- Backlog: $8.91 billion at quarter end, up 7.8% year on year
- Market Capitalization: $9.62 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions.
Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated.
Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Leonardo DRS’s Q3 Earnings Call
- Peter Arment (Baird) asked about the sustainability of elevated R&D spending and its impact on margins. CFO Michael Dippold said investment will remain at current levels to maintain agility in a changing procurement environment.
- Robert Stallard (Vertical Research) questioned the size and timing of large bookings, especially in counter UAS. Dippold noted a “pop” in bookings driven by U.S. government fiscal year-end and strong demand in the IMS segment.
- Kristine Liwag (Morgan Stanley) inquired about the germanium sourcing strategy and inventory outlook. CEO William Lynn discussed short-term reliance on buffer stock and recycling, with mid-term diversification away from China.
- Michael Ciarmoli (Truist Securities) probed for quantification of DRS’s exposure to counter UAS programs. Dippold stated that about 18–20% of revenues are tied to force protection, primarily short-range air defense and counter UAS.
- Jonathan Tanwanteng (CJS) asked about the impact of higher alternative germanium prices on ASC margins going forward. Dippold confirmed higher costs are expected to be inherent in fixed price programs as alternative sourcing ramps up.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
Looking forward, the StockStory team will be watching (1) the pace at which germanium supply chain initiatives reduce margin pressure, (2) the successful rollout and adoption of new platforms like SAGEcore and THOR in Army and Navy programs, and (3) whether DRS can sustain above-1x book-to-bill performance amid government funding uncertainty. Execution in international markets and foreign military sales will also be key signposts for continued growth.
Leonardo DRS currently trades at $36.49, down from $40.18 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
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