5 Defensive Consumer Plays to Watch If Markets Keep Slipping

By Ryan Hasson | November 10, 2025, 11:22 AM

Supermarket interior and storage shelf., Shopping concept.

For the first time since May, the S&P 500’s most widely followed benchmark, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA: SPY), briefly traded below its 50-day moving average last week. The index reclaimed that level and bounced, but it still closed the week lower, finishing down 1.63%. What stood out even more was the sharp weakness across several of the market’s biggest leaders. Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) is down more than 15% on the month ahead of Monday’s open, NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) has fallen more than 11% from its 52-week high, and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) has dropped more than 10% from its peak and nearly 5% on the month.

There are several possible catalysts behind the weakness. Profit-taking near record highs is always a factor, but recent macro headlines could also be contributing. Concerns over the lengthy government shutdown and its impact on the economy and travel surged after widespread flight disruptions last week. Labor market data also added pressure, with October marking the worst month for layoffs since 2003. Comments from NVIDIA’s Jensen Huang added more uncertainty after he suggested China could surpass the United States in AI, and investors are watching a key Supreme Court ruling on tariffs that could require the U.S. to refund over $1 trillion in revenue if it goes against the administration.

Regardless of the reason, one fact is undeniable. Fear has risen, leaders have pulled back, and the market has begun to show cracks. If that weakness extends into year-end and potentially into the first quarter of the new year, investors may seek protection in defensive sectors. Consumer staples and defensive consumer names tend to hold up better when volatility rises because their demand remains stable. Food, beverages, household goods, and discount retail continue to generate revenue even in weak markets.

That said, it has not been an easy year for many consumer staple companies. Purchasing power pressure, inflation, brand fatigue, ingredient consciousness, and shifting consumer behavior have weighed on sales. Several large staples companies have posted weak quarterly results and soft guidance. Still, the market has shown time and time again that stocks bottom before the macro data improves. When sentiment in a defensive sector becomes extremely negative, capital often rotates back in before the headlines turn positive.

If that rotation begins, here are five consumer defensive stocks investors may want to keep an eye on.

Walmart: A Defensive Giant That Thrives in Risk-Off Markets

Walmart Inc. (NYSE: WMT) remains one of the most reliable defensive holdings in the U.S. equity market. With an $817 billion market cap and a consistent dividend yield, the stock is firmly entrenched in defensive portfolios across the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500. The reason is simple. Walmart primarily sells what consumers need, not what they want, and its model focuses on essential goods at lower prices, a competitive advantage during economic uncertainty.

Roughly 60% of Walmart’s revenue comes from groceries and household necessities. When markets weaken and sentiment falls, consumers reduce discretionary spending. They do not stop buying food, cleaning supplies, healthcare items, or essential staples. That predictable spending pattern gives Walmart a stability that many growth names do not have.

From a technical standpoint, the stock remains strong. For most of the year, it has traded in an ascending consolidation near its all-time highs, only about 6% below peak levels. Last week, while the broader market finished sharply in the red, Walmart gained 1.39% and held firmly above its short-term support zones. That is precisely the type of relative strength investors look for in defensive positioning. If volatility remains elevated and capital rotates into staples, Walmart’s steady uptrend could re-accelerate to new highs.

Tyson Foods: A Defensive Name With Yield, Value, and a Potential Turnaround Setup

Tyson Foods, Inc. (NYSE: TSN) has underperformed the broader consumer staples sector this year. Shares are down 8.29% year to date, and the stock has struggled to gain momentum amid soft sentiment across food producers. However, that selling pressure has created an opportunity that value-focused, income-focused, and defensive-minded investors may begin to notice.

Tyson now offers a dividend yield of 3.78%, a P/E of 24, and a forward P/E of 14. That discounted valuation, paired with a substantial income component, positions it as a potential turnaround candidate if capital rotates back into staples. The company is set to report earnings on November 10, and investors will be watching closely for quarter-over-quarter performance, guidance, and commentary on pricing power and demand trends.

Analysts remain neutral with a Hold rating, but the consensus price target of $60.92 implies more than 15% upside from current levels. That upside becomes even more compelling when adding the dividend component. Still, the stock will need to show technical improvement. Tyson has traded below its 50-day moving average for most of the recent downtrend, and the first sign of a shift would be a move back above that level near $56. If that occurs and the consumer staples sector shows relative strength, Tyson could begin forming a base.

For now, it remains a watch-list name for investors who prefer stocks that offer yield, valuation support, and defensive exposure.

General Mills: Oversold, High-Yield and Approaching Potential Value Territory

General Mills Inc. (NYSE: GIS) has endured one of the most significant selloffs in the consumer staples space this year. The stock has dropped more than 26% year-to-date, pushing the dividend yield up to 5.16% and bringing the P/E ratio down to just 8.88. Those metrics are uncommon for a well-established, multinational food producer that generates consistent free cash flow.

The weakness stems from soft sales trends, brand fatigue, and weaker consumer sentiment across packaged foods. The most recent quarterly results showed a 6.8% year-over-year sales decline, and the stock has fallen to levels not seen since 2019. Yet analysts are not abandoning the name. Based on 19 ratings, the stock holds a consensus Hold rating, and price targets imply more than 19% upside from current levels.

If markets continue to weaken and capital flows back into defensive high-yield names, GIS could be a potential beneficiary. From a technical standpoint, the price action is deeply oversold. The first level to watch will be a reclaim of the 50-day SMA, with the $50 to $52 range marking a key potential reversal zone. If buyers defend that area and push the stock back above resistance, the extreme valuation could attract long-term investors looking for stability, income, and potential recovery.

Kraft Heinz: Under Pressure, But Value and Yield Could Draw Buyers

Kraft Heinz Co. (NASDAQ: KHC) has struggled this year, falling more than 20% and significantly underperforming both the broader market and the consumer staples benchmark. Sales disappointments have been a driver, as the company has missed revenue estimates in three of the last four quarters. The result has been a sharp valuation reset. Kraft Heinz now trades at just 9.67x forward earnings and offers a lofty 6.59% dividend yield.

While analysts are mixed, with a consensus Reduce rating, the average price target still implies roughly 9.5% upside. That suggests that, even with soft sentiment, valuation may have reached a point where selling pressure is starting to slow. The company’s recent earnings report highlighted a challenging consumer environment. Kraft Heinz topped EPS expectations but missed on revenue and lowered annual sales and profit forecasts, citing resistance to higher snack and condiment prices.

Management also announced plans to continue forward with the split of the company into two businesses by 2026, one focused on grocery and the other on sauces and spreads. The goal is simplification, operational efficiency, and improved brand focus. If the restructuring begins to take shape and capital returns to defensive, income-oriented names, Kraft Heinz could start to show signs of life. For now, the stock remains discounted, high-yielding, and sensitive to sector rotation. It is one worth monitoring in the months ahead.

Campbell’s: Value, Yield, and a Potential Bottoming Setup

Campbell Soup Company (NASDAQ: CPB) is a household staple name, but the business looks very different from what it was a decade ago. While soup was once its dominant revenue driver, the portfolio has expanded and shifted. Soups now account for just 27% of total sales, down from more than 40% in 2017, while snacks have grown to more than 40% of the business. The company has focused on supply-chain efficiency and brand investment to reposition itself for long-term competitiveness.

Valuation is one of the primary attractions for income and defensive investors. Campbell’s carries a 5.07% dividend yield, a P/E of 15.3, and a forward P/E of 11.63. The most recent earnings report showed modest progress. The company posted EPS of 62 cents, beating expectations of 57 cents, while revenue grew 1.2% year-over-year to $2.32 billion, slightly below estimates. The results did not spark a significant reaction, but they helped stabilize sentiment.

From a technical perspective, the stock is attempting a double bottom near $30. If it can push above $34, that pattern would confirm and could signal a shift in momentum. For investors seeking value, yield, and defensive exposure, Campbell’s is a name worth watching into early 2026 as the company executes its broader transformation.

Identifying Sector Rotation Is Key

If the market continues weakening into year-end, consumer defensive stocks may begin attracting more institutional capital. While each of these names has faced challenges, history shows that staples often bottom before sector- and macro-specific headlines turn.

Sector participants watching for rotation and capital reallocation, relative strength, and undervalued dividend names may find opportunity in the weeks ahead.

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