Wall Street has issued downbeat forecasts for the stocks in this article.
These predictions are rare - financial institutions typically hesitate to say bad things about a company because it can jeopardize their other revenue-generating business lines like M&A advisory.
Accurately determining a company’s long-term prospects isn’t easy, especially when sentiment is weak. That’s where StockStory comes in - to help you find attractive investment candidates backed by unbiased research. Keeping that in mind, here are three stocks where the skepticism is well-placed and some better opportunities to consider.
Calavo (CVGW)
Consensus Price Target: $27 (3.1% implied return)
A trailblazer in the avocado industry, Calavo Growers (NASDAQ:CVGW) is a pioneering California-based provider of high-quality avocados and other fresh food products.
Why Do We Pass on CVGW?
- Annual revenue declines of 18.3% over the last three years indicate problems with its market positioning
- Smaller revenue base of $648.4 million means it hasn’t achieved the economies of scale that some industry juggernauts enjoy
- Gross margin of 10% is an output of its commoditized products
At $26.20 per share, Calavo trades at 17x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including CVGW in your portfolio.
JLL (JLL)
Consensus Price Target: $372.60 (4.6% implied return)
Founded in 1999 through the merger of Jones Lang Wootton and LaSalle Partners, JLL (NYSE:JLL) is a company specializing in real estate advisory and investment management services.
Why Do We Think JLL Will Underperform?
- Annual sales growth of 8.1% over the last five years lagged behind its consumer discretionary peers as its large revenue base made it difficult to generate incremental demand
- Poor free cash flow margin of 2.8% for the last two years limits its freedom to invest in growth initiatives, execute share buybacks, or pay dividends
- Waning returns on capital from an already weak starting point displays the inefficacy of management’s past and current investment decisions
JLL’s stock price of $356.36 implies a valuation ratio of 18.1x forward P/E. If you’re considering JLL for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.
Trex (TREX)
Consensus Price Target: $43.55 (0.3% implied return)
Addressing the demand for aesthetically-pleasing and unique outdoor living spaces, Trex Company (NYSE:TREX) makes wood-alternative decking, railing, and patio furniture.
Why Do We Steer Clear of TREX?
- Organic sales performance over the past two years indicates the company may need to make strategic adjustments or rely on M&A to catalyze faster growth
- Free cash flow margin shrank by 6.1 percentage points over the last five years, suggesting the company is consuming more capital to stay competitive
- Waning returns on capital imply its previous profit engines are losing steam
Trex is trading at $43.42 per share, or 28x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than TREX.
High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions
Check out the high-quality names we’ve flagged in our Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).
Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as
Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025)
as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,754% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.