City Holding currently trades at $125.22 per share and has shown little upside over the past six months, posting a middling return of 3.5%. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 9.6% gain during that period.
Is there a buying opportunity in City Holding, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? See what our analysts have to say in our full research report, it’s free.
Why Is City Holding Not Exciting?
We're sitting this one out for now. Here are three reasons we avoid CHCO and a stock we'd rather own.
1. Net Interest Income Points to Soft Demand
Markets consistently prioritize net interest income over non-recurring fees, recognizing its superior quality compared to the more unpredictable revenue streams.
City Holding’s net interest income has grown at a 8.9% annualized rate over the last five years, slightly worse than the broader banking industry.
2. Projected Net Interest Income Growth Is Slim
Forecasted net interest income by Wall Street analysts signals a company’s potential. Predictions may not always be accurate, but accelerating growth typically boosts valuation multiples and stock prices while slowing growth does the opposite.
Over the next 12 months, sell-side analysts expect City Holding’s net interest income to rise by 3.7%, close to its 3.9% annualized growth for the past two years.
3. Recent EPS Growth Below Our Standards
While long-term earnings trends give us the big picture, we also track EPS over a shorter period because it can provide insight into an emerging theme or development for the business.
City Holding’s EPS grew at a weak 5.6% compounded annual growth rate over the last two years. On the bright side, this performance was higher than its 3.3% annualized revenue growth and tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.
Final Judgment
City Holding’s business quality ultimately falls short of our standards. With its shares lagging the market recently, the stock trades at 2× forward P/B (or $125.22 per share). Beauty is in the eye of the beholder, but we don’t really see a big opportunity at the moment. We're fairly confident there are better stocks to buy right now. Let us point you toward a safe-and-steady industrials business benefiting from an upgrade cycle.
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