United Rentals faced a challenging fourth quarter as the market reacted negatively to its results, with management pointing to a combination of factors behind the underperformance. CEO Matthew Flannery highlighted continued growth in both general rentals and specialty businesses, but noted that higher fleet repositioning costs and mixed performance in the matting business weighed on margins. CFO William Grace attributed the shortfall in used equipment sales to holding onto high-time assets to meet demand, further impacting bottom-line results.
Is now the time to buy URI? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
United Rentals (URI) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $4.21 billion vs analyst estimates of $4.24 billion (2.8% year-on-year growth, 0.7% miss)
- Adjusted EPS: $11.09 vs analyst expectations of $11.80 (6.1% miss)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $1.90 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.93 billion (45.2% margin, 1.6% miss)
- EBITDA guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $7.7 billion at the midpoint, in line with analyst expectations
- Operating Margin: 25%, down from 26.5% in the same quarter last year
- Organic Revenue rose 2.8% year on year (miss)
- Market Capitalization: $49.94 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions.
Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated.
Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From United Rentals’s Q4 Earnings Call
- Steven Fisher (UBS) asked about the future of ancillary services and their return profile. CEO Matthew Flannery explained these services are margin dilutive but cash profitable, and their expansion is guided by customer demand rather than sales incentives.
- Jerry Revich (Wells Fargo) questioned the mixed performance within specialty, particularly the matting business. CFO William Grace clarified a major project delay caused lumpiness, though the overall specialty outlook remains positive.
- Oliver Z Jiang (Morgan Stanley) inquired about fleet productivity drivers and future expectations. Flannery said positive rate trends continued, but mix volatility from project delays affected results; full-year productivity is still expected to be positive.
- Kevin Wilson (Truist) asked about the strategy for cold-starts and specialty footprint. Flannery said site selection is driven by real estate and talent availability, with most growth coming from large projects rather than local markets.
- Kenneth Newman (KeyBanc Capital Markets) focused on used equipment sales and margin progression. Grace explained fewer assets were sold due to high rental demand, while Flannery said margin improvements from cost actions will be gradual and most visible during peak activity periods.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
Looking forward, the StockStory team will track (1) the pace and profitability of specialty segment expansion, especially as new cold-starts come online, (2) the impact of cost-control initiatives and technology investments on operating margins, and (3) continued execution in securing and servicing large project work across key verticals such as infrastructure and power. Monitoring used equipment sales trends and the timing of major project mobilizations will also be crucial for understanding margin recovery.
United Rentals currently trades at $792.64, down from $903.19 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).
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