NiSource to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?

NiSource NI is set to report fourth-quarter 2025 results on Feb. 11, before market open. The company reported a negative earnings surprise of 5.00% in the last quarter reported.

Let us discuss the factors that are likely to be reflected in the upcoming quarterly results.

Q4 Expectations for NI

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is pegged at 49 cents, implying no year-over-year growth.

The consensus estimate for revenues is pinned at $ 1.30 billion, indicating a decrease of 18.13% from the year-ago reported number.

Factors Likely to Have Impacted NI’s Q4 Earnings

NiSource's fourth-quarter earnings are likely to have benefited from rising demand for clean electricity from the data centers, the reshoring of manufacturing activities and ongoing economic development in its service territories. New gas and electric rates, effective at Northern Indiana Public Service Company (“NIPSCO”) during the fourth quarter, are likely to have boosted earnings.

GenCo's business strategy has been approved by the Indiana Utility Regulatory Commission, which is likely to have contributed positively to the quarterly performance. GenCo is designed to own, build and manage generation assets to serve the growing data center industry in Northern Indiana.  

However, higher operation and maintenance expenses may have partially offset these positive impacts in the fourth quarter.

What Our Quantitative Model Predicts for NI

Our proven model does not predict an earnings beat for NiSource this time around. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. That is not the case here, as you will see below.
 

NiSource, Inc Price and EPS Surprise

NiSource, Inc price-eps-surprise | NiSource, Inc Quote

NI’s Earnings ESP: The company has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% at present. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

NI’s Zacks Rank: Currently, NiSource carries a Zacks Rank #3.

Stocks to Consider

Investors may consider the following players from the same industry, as these have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this reporting cycle.

Fortis FTS is likely to come up with an earnings beat when it reports fourth-quarter results on Feb. 12. It has an Earnings ESP of +0.41% and a Zacks Rank #2 at present. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

FTS’ long-term (three to five years) earnings growth rate is 4.94%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter EPS is pinned at 62 cents, which implies a year-over-year increase of 5.08%.

Pinnacle West Capital PNW is likely to come up with an earnings beat when it reports fourth-quarter results on Feb. 25. It has an Earnings ESP of +250.0% and a Zacks Rank #3 at present. 

PNW’s long-term earnings growth rate is 3.56%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter EPS is pinned at 2 cents, which implies a year-over-year increase of 133.33%.

Eversource Energy ES is likely to come up with an earnings beat when it reports fourth-quarter results on Feb. 13. It has an Earnings ESP of +1.27% and a Zacks Rank #3 at present. 

ES’ long-term earnings growth rate is 5.92%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter earnings per share is pinned at $1.11, which implies a year-over-year increase of 9.90%.

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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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