Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) Rises Higher Than Market: Key Facts

By Zacks Equity Research | June 23, 2025, 5:50 PM

In the latest trading session, Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) closed at $53.78, marking a +1.89% move from the previous day. The stock outpaced the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.96%. Elsewhere, the Dow saw an upswing of 0.89%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq appreciated by 0.94%.

The stock of Mexican food chain has risen by 4.25% in the past month, leading the Retail-Wholesale sector's gain of 0.02% and the S&P 500's gain of 0.5%.

Analysts and investors alike will be keeping a close eye on the performance of Chipotle Mexican Grill in its upcoming earnings disclosure. The company's earnings report is set to go public on July 23, 2025. On that day, Chipotle Mexican Grill is projected to report earnings of $0.32 per share, which would represent a year-over-year decline of 5.88%. In the meantime, our current consensus estimate forecasts the revenue to be $3.1 billion, indicating a 4.39% growth compared to the corresponding quarter of the prior year.

For the entire fiscal year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates are projecting earnings of $1.21 per share and a revenue of $12.23 billion, representing changes of +8.04% and +8.1%, respectively, from the prior year.

It's also important for investors to be aware of any recent modifications to analyst estimates for Chipotle Mexican Grill. Such recent modifications usually signify the changing landscape of near-term business trends. Consequently, upward revisions in estimates express analysts' positivity towards the business operations and its ability to generate profits.

Our research reveals that these estimate alterations are directly linked with the stock price performance in the near future. To capitalize on this, we've crafted the Zacks Rank, a unique model that incorporates these estimate changes and offers a practical rating system.

Ranging from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), the Zacks Rank system has a proven, outside-audited track record of outperformance, with #1 stocks returning an average of +25% annually since 1988. Over the past month, there's been no change in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. At present, Chipotle Mexican Grill boasts a Zacks Rank of #4 (Sell).

Looking at its valuation, Chipotle Mexican Grill is holding a Forward P/E ratio of 43.76. This signifies a premium in comparison to the average Forward P/E of 22.44 for its industry.

Investors should also note that CMG has a PEG ratio of 2.62 right now. Comparable to the widely accepted P/E ratio, the PEG ratio also accounts for the company's projected earnings growth. CMG's industry had an average PEG ratio of 2.58 as of yesterday's close.

The Retail - Restaurants industry is part of the Retail-Wholesale sector. This group has a Zacks Industry Rank of 168, putting it in the bottom 32% of all 250+ industries.

The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the vigor of our specific industry groups by computing the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks incorporated in the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.

Ensure to harness Zacks.com to stay updated with all these stock-shifting metrics, among others, in the next trading sessions.

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Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG): Free Stock Analysis Report

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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