5 Insightful Analyst Questions From Aris Water's Q1 Earnings Call

By Anthony Lee | July 07, 2025, 10:20 AM

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Aris Water’s first quarter results for 2025 outperformed Wall Street’s revenue and non-GAAP profit expectations. Management attributed the volume growth primarily to higher-than-anticipated customer activity and sustained produced water demand, with CEO Amanda Brock noting, “We grew both Produced Water volumes and Water Solution volumes 7% sequentially.” However, CFO Stephan Tompsett highlighted that operating margins fell compared to the previous year, reflecting increased maintenance and operating costs. The integration of McNeill Ranch also contributed new revenue streams this quarter, but investors appeared focused on emerging margin pressures and external uncertainties.

Is now the time to buy ARIS? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Aris Water (ARIS) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $120.5 million vs analyst estimates of $113.1 million (16.5% year-on-year growth, 6.5% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.35 vs analyst estimates of $0.28 (24% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $56.54 million vs analyst estimates of $52.54 million (46.9% margin, 7.6% beat)
  • EBITDA guidance for Q2 CY2025 is $52.5 million at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $56.59 million
  • Operating Margin: 23.1%, down from 26.9% in the same quarter last year
  • Sales Volumes rose 3% year on year (6% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $795.8 million

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions Aris Water’s Q1 Earnings Call

  • Wade Suki (Capital One): Asked about expectations for water volumes if producers reduce activity; CEO Amanda Brock explained the company can flex capital spending down by 25–30% in response and expects water cut ratios to remain stable, with volume impact driven by oil production trends.
  • Jackie Koletas (Goldman Sachs): Queried whether strong Q1 volumes were sustainable or driven by one-time factors; CFO Stephan Tompsett noted that some interruptible spot volumes contributed but are difficult to forecast and not assumed in future guidance.
  • Spiro Dounis (Citi): Requested details on McNeill Ranch commercialization; Brock indicated the property is attracting more inbound opportunities than expected, with multiple permitting milestones achieved and ongoing customer discussions.
  • Jeremy Tonet (JPMorgan): Asked about competition from new water pipelines; Brock clarified that recent competitor projects are geographically separate and Aris’s long-term customer contracts insulate it from near-term competitive threats.
  • Derrick Whitfield (Texas Capital): Sought clarity on the cost structure for desalination and mineral extraction; Brock confirmed operational costs for desalination could fall below $1 per barrel, with early prospects for additional minerals like magnesium and lithium under evaluation.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

As we move into the next few quarters, our analysts will closely watch (1) trends in customer production activity and any adjustments to oil price-driven capital plans; (2) the commercialization and incremental revenue contributions from McNeill Ranch, especially in surface royalties and mineral extraction; and (3) the pace of progress in beneficial reuse and large-scale desalination permitting. Execution in these areas will be critical for supporting margins and long-term growth.

Aris Water currently trades at $23.91, down from $25.46 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).

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