5 Insightful Analyst Questions From Carnival's Q2 Earnings Call

By Kayode Omotosho | July 07, 2025, 10:14 AM

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Carnival's second quarter results were well received by the market, with management citing strong demand across both ticket sales and onboard spending as the primary drivers of performance. CEO Josh Weinstein highlighted, “Yields grew by almost 6.5%, beating our guidance by 200 basis points. Both ticket and onboard equally outperformed on very strong closing demand reaffirming the strength of our consumer.” The company also benefited from cost efficiencies and new operational milestones, with operating margin reaching its highest level in nearly twenty years. Management credited these achievements to ongoing enhancements in guest experience, effective marketing, and targeted investments in its fleet and destinations.

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Carnival (CCL) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $6.33 billion vs analyst estimates of $6.22 billion (9.5% year-on-year growth, 1.7% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.35 vs analyst estimates of $0.24 (45.3% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $1.51 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.36 billion (23.8% margin, 10.8% beat)
  • Management raised its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to $1.97 at the midpoint, a 7.7% increase
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $6.9 billion at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $6.74 billion
  • Operating Margin: 14.8%, up from 9.7% in the same quarter last year
  • Passenger Cruise Days: 25.3 million, up 1 million year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $40.05 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions Carnival’s Q2 Earnings Call

  • Matthew Boss (JPMorgan) asked how product and onboard experience investments are translating into stronger pricing and spend. CEO Josh Weinstein attributed growth to incremental enhancements across brands and said, "we're still in the early innings" with more to come, including Celebration Key.
  • Ben Chaiken (Mizuho Securities) questioned whether Celebration Key is earning a pricing premium and about marketing plans. Weinstein confirmed a premium is being achieved and marketing efforts have been redirected to support the launch.
  • Steve Wieczynski (Stifel) probed booking trends amid macro volatility. Weinstein reported more volatility in April but noted improvement in May and June, crediting teams for adapting revenue management strategies.
  • Brent Montour (Barclays) asked about the resilience of lower-income consumers. Weinstein stated no significant change in booking patterns across income segments and emphasized the value proposition of cruising.
  • Connor Cunningham (Melius Research) sought details on the cost impact of Celebration Key and the structure of the new loyalty program. CFO David Bernstein clarified that the destination will add about a one percentage point cost impact in the back half of the year, and the loyalty program will initially require revenue deferral but is expected to be accretive to yields over time.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, our analysts will closely track (1) the ramp-up and guest response to Celebration Key and other private destination expansions, (2) trends in onboard spending as new amenities and loyalty initiatives take effect, and (3) Carnival’s ability to maintain cost discipline amid rising marketing and operational expenses. The impact of geopolitical events on booking patterns and itinerary adjustments will also be key indicators of near-term performance.

Carnival currently trades at $30.07, up from $24.04 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

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