Let’s dig into the relative performance of National Vision (NASDAQ:EYE) and its peers as we unravel the now-completed Q1 specialty retail earnings season.
Some retailers try to sell everything under the sun, while others—appropriately called Specialty Retailers—focus on selling a narrow category and aiming to be exceptional at it. Whether it’s eyeglasses, sporting goods, or beauty and cosmetics, these stores win with depth of product in their category as well as in-store expertise and guidance for shoppers who need it. E-commerce competition exists and waning retail foot traffic impacts these retailers, but the magnitude of the headwinds depends on what they sell and what extra value they provide in their stores.
The 4 specialty retail stocks we track reported a mixed Q1. As a group, revenues missed analysts’ consensus estimates by 1.2% while next quarter’s revenue guidance was in line.
Thankfully, share prices of the companies have been resilient as they are up 8.6% on average since the latest earnings results.
Best Q1: National Vision (NASDAQ:EYE)
Operating under multiple brands, National Vision (NYSE:EYE) sells optical products such as eyeglasses and provides optical services such as eye exams.
National Vision reported revenues of $510.3 million, up 5.7% year on year. This print exceeded analysts’ expectations by 1.5%. Overall, it was a very strong quarter for the company with full-year EPS guidance exceeding analysts’ expectations and an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.
“Our first quarter results are a testament to the entire team’s disciplined execution against the new strategic approach our leadership team began to implement last quarter,” said Reade Fahs, National Vision’s CEO.
National Vision scored the biggest analyst estimates beat, fastest revenue growth, and highest full-year guidance raise of the whole group. Unsurprisingly, the stock is up 79.2% since reporting and currently trades at $23.89.
Historically known for its window displays of pets for sale or adoption, Petco (NASDAQ:WOOF) is a specialty retailer of pet food and supplies as well as a provider of services such as wellness checks and grooming.
Petco reported revenues of $1.49 billion, down 2.3% year on year, in line with analysts’ expectations. The business had a strong quarter with an impressive beat of analysts’ EPS estimates and a solid beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.
Although it had a fine quarter compared its peers, the market seems unhappy with the results as the stock is down 19.2% since reporting. It currently trades at $2.95.
Started as a mail-order tractor parts business, Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) is a retailer of general goods such as agricultural supplies, hardware, and pet food for the rural consumer.
Tractor Supply reported revenues of $3.47 billion, up 2.1% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 1.9%. It was a disappointing quarter as it posted full-year revenue guidance missing analysts’ expectations.
Tractor Supply delivered the weakest full-year guidance update in the group. Interestingly, the stock is up 13.5% since the results and currently trades at $57.50.
Named after founder Philip Leslie, who established the company in 1963, Leslie’s (NASDAQ:LESL) is a retailer that sells pool and spa supplies, equipment, and maintenance services.
Leslie's reported revenues of $177.1 million, down 6.1% year on year. This print came in 4% below analysts' expectations. It was a slower quarter as it also logged a miss of analysts’ EBITDA and gross margin estimates.
Leslie's had the weakest performance against analyst estimates and slowest revenue growth among its peers. The stock is down 39% since reporting and currently trades at $0.43.
Thanks to the Fed’s rate hikes in 2022 and 2023, inflation has been on a steady path downward, easing back toward that 2% sweet spot. Fortunately (miraculously to some), all this tightening didn’t send the economy tumbling into a recession, so here we are, cautiously celebrating a soft landing. The cherry on top? Recent rate cuts (half a point in September 2024, a quarter in November) have propped up markets, especially after Trump’s November win lit a fire under major indices and sent them to all-time highs. However, there’s still plenty to ponder — tariffs, corporate tax cuts, and what 2025 might hold for the economy.
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