Why Alphabet Stock Popped Today

By Rich Smith | October 24, 2025, 8:55 PM

Key Points

  • Anthropic announced last night it will use Google TPU chips to power Claude AI.

  • This morning, Raymond James analyst Aaron Kessler raised his price target on Alphabet stock.

Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) (NASDAQ: GOOG) stock gained 2.8% through 11:50 a.m. ET Friday after Raymond James analyst Aaron Kessler hiked his price target to $275 per share on the Google parent company (which he rates "outperform").

Person biking on Google campus with Google name reflected on window in background.

Image source: Alphabet.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now, when you join Stock Advisor. See the stocks »

Google AI news

Artificial intelligence company Anthropic announced yesterday it will use over 1 million specialized AI "Tensor Processing Units" from Google to provide more than one gigawatt of computing capacity for Anthropic's own Claude AI service. This news presumably got today's rally started, as it broke only after close of trading Thursday.

This morning, Alphabet stock found its second catalyst when Raymond James' analyst described himself as "incrementally more bullish on search revenues" at Google, and said he is raising his earnings forecasts for both 2025 and 2026. Kessler noted that even valuing Alphabet stock at 21.5 times forecast 2027 earnings gives Alphabet stock a "30% discount vs. AI Winners" such as Nvidia, Microsoft, and Oracle -- making the analyst's forecast look downright conservative.

Is Alphabet stock a buy?

A more aggressive price target, says Kessler, could see Alphabet shares priced as high as $350, or as much as 34% more than the stock costs today.

I'm not sure I agree with that, however.

With Alphabet priced at over 26 times earnings today, most analysts forecast it will grow earnings at no better than 15% annually over the next five years. That's not cheap. Free cash flow also looks poor as Alphabet pours more and more cash into money-losing AI ventures, with the result that Alphabet now generates less than $0.58 in cash profit for every $1 it claims to "earn."

From where I sit, Alphabet doesn't look like a "buy" on either its GAAP earnings valuation or its free cash flow. I'm almost tempted to call Alphabet stock a "sell."

Should you invest $1,000 in Alphabet right now?

Before you buy stock in Alphabet, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Alphabet wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $600,550!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,116,616!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 1,032% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 192% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of October 20, 2025

Rich Smith has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Oracle. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Latest News

Oct-24
Oct-24
Oct-24
Oct-24
Oct-24
Oct-24
Oct-24
Oct-24
Oct-24
Oct-24
Oct-24
Oct-24
Oct-24
Oct-24
Oct-24