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Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: Here's Why

By Zacks Equity Research | January 26, 2026, 5:45 PM

In the latest close session, Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) was down 2.81% at $39.72. This change lagged the S&P 500's 0.5% gain on the day. Meanwhile, the Dow gained 0.64%, and the Nasdaq, a tech-heavy index, added 0.43%.

Coming into today, shares of the Mexican food chain had gained 8.09% in the past month. In that same time, the Retail-Wholesale sector gained 5.24%, while the S&P 500 gained 0.18%.

The upcoming earnings release of Chipotle Mexican Grill will be of great interest to investors. The company's earnings report is expected on February 3, 2026. It is anticipated that the company will report an EPS of $0.24, marking a 4% fall compared to the same quarter of the previous year. Meanwhile, the latest consensus estimate predicts the revenue to be $2.98 billion, indicating a 4.9% increase compared to the same quarter of the previous year.

For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates project earnings of $1.16 per share and a revenue of $11.93 billion, demonstrating changes of +3.57% and 0%, respectively, from the preceding year.

Investors should also note any recent changes to analyst estimates for Chipotle Mexican Grill. These revisions typically reflect the latest short-term business trends, which can change frequently. Consequently, upward revisions in estimates express analysts' positivity towards the business operations and its ability to generate profits.

Our research suggests that these changes in estimates have a direct relationship with upcoming stock price performance. We developed the Zacks Rank to capitalize on this phenomenon. Our system takes these estimate changes into account and delivers a clear, actionable rating model.

The Zacks Rank system ranges from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell). It has a remarkable, outside-audited track record of success, with #1 stocks delivering an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the past month, there's been a 0.47% rise in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. Currently, Chipotle Mexican Grill is carrying a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).

Digging into valuation, Chipotle Mexican Grill currently has a Forward P/E ratio of 33.84. This signifies a premium in comparison to the average Forward P/E of 20.26 for its industry.

It's also important to note that CMG currently trades at a PEG ratio of 3.85. The PEG ratio is akin to the commonly utilized P/E ratio, but this measure also incorporates the company's anticipated earnings growth rate. The Retail - Restaurants industry had an average PEG ratio of 2.14 as trading concluded yesterday.

The Retail - Restaurants industry is part of the Retail-Wholesale sector. With its current Zacks Industry Rank of 202, this industry ranks in the bottom 18% of all industries, numbering over 250.

The Zacks Industry Rank gauges the strength of our individual industry groups by measuring the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.

Remember to apply Zacks.com to follow these and more stock-moving metrics during the upcoming trading sessions.

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Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG): Free Stock Analysis Report

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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