Textron’s fourth quarter results drew a negative market reaction, despite the company topping Wall Street’s revenue and adjusted earnings expectations. Management attributed the quarter’s growth primarily to higher aircraft deliveries following recovery from the prior year’s strike, as well as expanded aftermarket activity and strong demand for Bell’s military helicopters. CEO Lisa Atherton also highlighted the impact of key certifications—such as the Citation Ascend and CJ3 Gen 2—on segment momentum and the company’s growing backlog, while acknowledging ongoing supply chain pressures, particularly around engines and workforce retention.
Is now the time to buy TXT? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
Textron (TXT) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $4.18 billion vs analyst estimates of $4.08 billion (15.6% year-on-year growth, 2.3% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $1.73 vs analyst estimates of $1.70 (1.5% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $506 million vs analyst estimates of $497.5 million (12.1% margin, 1.7% beat)
- Adjusted EPS guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $6.50 at the midpoint, missing analyst estimates by 4.9%
- Operating Margin: 8%, in line with the same quarter last year
- Organic Revenue rose 17.2% year on year (beat)
- Market Capitalization: $15.62 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions.
Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated.
Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Textron’s Q4 Earnings Call
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Sheila Kahyaoglu (Jefferies): asked CEO Lisa Atherton about her top priorities as the new chief executive. Atherton emphasized rigorous execution, portfolio focus, and continued investment in supply chain and workforce resilience as her main goals.
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Peter Arment (Baird): questioned how the MV-75 program’s acceleration would affect near- and medium-term performance. Atherton explained that program acceleration pulls revenue forward and gets aircraft to the Army sooner, but also increases near-term investment needs.
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Kristine Liwag (Morgan Stanley): inquired about Textron’s approach to portfolio management and competitive positioning in autonomous systems. Atherton described an ongoing evaluation process for all business units and highlighted Textron’s decades of manufacturing experience as a differentiator in autonomy.
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Myles Walton (Wolfe Research): pressed for details on aviation supply chain recovery and associated cost pressures. Atherton and CFO Rosenberg acknowledged remaining bottlenecks, particularly for engines, and noted that supply chain costs are reflected in guidance.
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Noah Poponak (Goldman Sachs): asked about aviation margin expectations after recasting and about Bell’s margin trajectory as the MV-75 ramps. Rosenberg confirmed that margin guidance reflects recasting, not a structural reset, and expects margins to improve as production scales.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, our analysts will monitor (1) the pace of MV-75 program execution and any updates to contract timing or cost adjustments, (2) the ability of Textron Aviation to convert backlog into higher deliveries amid ongoing supply chain and workforce challenges, and (3) the effectiveness of portfolio optimization efforts, particularly any further asset sales or vertical integration moves. Progress on these fronts will be crucial for tracking Textron’s strategy and financial performance.
Textron currently trades at $88.51, down from $94.23 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).
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