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Chicago, IL – November 20, 2025 – Zacks Director of Research Sheraz Mian says, "Total earnings for the Retail companies already reported are up +18.5% on +8.4% higher revenues, with 69.6% beating EPS estimates and 82.6% beating revenue estimates."
Q3 Earnings Season: Retail Sector in Focus
Note: The following is an excerpt from this week’s Earnings Trends report. You can access the full report that contains detailed historical actual and estimates for the current and following periods, please click here>>>
Here are the key points:
The Retail Sector – S&P 500 vs. S&P 600
We have a dedicated sector classification for the Retail sector instead of clubbing these companies in the Consumer Discretionary and Consumer Staples sectors. We believe that the stand-alone Zacks Retail sector enables a more nuanced, granular understanding of the space.
For reference, Zacks has 16 ‘economic’ sectors, including the Retail sector, which compares to 11 such sectors in the ‘official’ S&P classification system. In addition to the Retail sector, we also have dedicated sectors for Automobile, Construction, Aerospace/Defense, Transportation, and Business Services.
Please note that the Zacks Retail sector includes not only conventional brick-and-mortar operators like Target TGT and Home Depot HD, but also restaurant and ecommerce players like Amazon AMZN.
For the Retail sector in the S&P 500 index, we now have Q3 results from 23 of the 30 companies, or 76.7% of all the retailers in the large-cap index. For the small-cap S&P 600 index, we now have Q3 results from 23 of the 33 retailers, or 69.7% of the retailers in the index.
Total Q3 earnings for the Retail sector companies in the S&P 500 index that have reported are up +18.5% from the same period last year on +8.4% higher revenues, with 69.6% beating EPS estimates and 82.6% beating revenue estimates.
Amazon’s Q3 earnings were up +29.3% from the same period last year on +11.9% higher revenues, though admittedly, the bulk of the e-commerce giant’s impressive growth pace is thanks largely to its cloud computing business.
A couple of trends stand out in the Retail sector’s Q3 earnings season performance thus far. First, the group’s top-line performance is solid, both in terms of growth rates and beat percentages. Second, margins remain under pressure, though the pressure appears to be less severe than in other recent periods.
For the S&P 600 index, total earnings for the 69.7% of the sector’s members that have already reported are up +17.9% from the same period last year, on +6.1% higher revenues, with 60.9% beating EPS estimates and 69.6% beating revenue estimates.
The Earnings Big Picture
Looking at Q3 as a whole, combining the actual results that have come out with estimates for the still-to-come companies, total earnings are on track to +14.8% on +8.1% revenue gains. We have consistently shown in this space how Q3 estimates have steadily increased since the quarter began.
The revisions trend turned negative in recent days after staying positive earlier through the Q3 reporting cycle. We are seeing this with estimates for the current period, with Q4 estimates modestly down since the quarter got underway in October.
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