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New: Instantly spot drawdowns, dips, insider moves, and breakout themes across Maps and Screener.
U.S. stock futures fell on Monday following Friday’s declines. Futures of major benchmark indices were lower.
President Donald Trump‘s nomination of Kevin Warsh to lead the Federal Reserve was followed by a sharp sell-off in Friday’s session.
Precious metals Gold and Silver also saw a sharp drop in their prices after a record-breaking rally in January.
Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.22%, and the two-year bond was at 3.52%. The CME Group's FedWatch tool‘s projections show markets pricing an 85.1% likelihood of the Federal Reserve leaving the current interest rates unchanged in March.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | -0.29% |
| S&P 500 | -0.58% |
| Nasdaq 100 | -0.88% |
| Russell 2000 | -0.55% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, were lower in premarket on Monday. The SPY was down 0.61% at $687.75, while the QQQ declined 0.85% to $616.57.





Materials, tech, and financial sectors led the S&P 500’s decline on Friday, though consumer staples and energy stocks managed to finish higher.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Dow Jones | -0.36% | 48,892.47 |
| S&P 500 | -0.43% | 6,939.03 |
| Nasdaq Composite | -0.94% | 23,461.82 |
| Russell 2000 | -0.89% | 2,601.30 |
Mohamed El-Erian, Chief Economic Advisor at Allianz, views 2026 not as a single path, but as a “tense tug-of-war between three distinct futures.” He warns that the traditional bell curve of economic forecasting has been replaced by “fat tails,” where extreme outcomes—both virtuous and vicious—are equally plausible.
At the center of his outlook is a “Goldilocks-lite” scenario driven by massive AI capital expenditure. However, El-Erian is concerned by an “unsettling phenomenon”: the decoupling of employment from GDP.
He notes that while AI and automation may fuel growth, they could lead to a “relatively stagnant labor market,” exacerbating the K-shaped recovery and hitting lower-income households hardest.
For the stock market, El-Erian highlights a “rising tide of volatility” and a shift toward “policy divergence.” With the nomination of Kevin Warsh to lead the Fed, he expects a push for modernization and independence, though he cautions that the era of synchronized global easing is over.
“We are looking not at a normal distribution, but at a multi-modal one… a plausible path of robust, AI-led growth sits in the middle, flanked by a productivity miracle on one side and a risk-laden downside on the other,” he said.
Here's what investors will be keeping an eye on this week.
Crude oil futures were trading lower in the early New York session by 4.86% to hover around $62.04 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar fell 3.25% to hover around $4,707.15 per ounce. Its last record high stood at $5,595.46 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.13% higher at the 97.1200 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin was trading 6.28% lower at $82,225.86 per coin.
Asian markets closed lower on Monday, except India’s Nifty 50 index. Hong Kong's Hang Seng, China’s CSI 300, Australia's ASX 200, Japan's Nikkei 225, and South Korea's Kospi indices fell. European markets were mostly mixed in early trade.
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock
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